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游客与猕猴互动对疾病传播的影响。

Implications of Tourist-Macaque Interactions for Disease Transmission.

作者信息

Carne Charlotte, Semple Stuart, MacLarnon Ann, Majolo Bonaventura, Maréchal Laëtitia

机构信息

Department of Life Sciences, University of Roehampton, London, UK.

School of Psychology, University of Lincoln, Sarah Swift Building, Brayford Wharf East, Lincoln, LN5 7AY, UK.

出版信息

Ecohealth. 2017 Dec;14(4):704-717. doi: 10.1007/s10393-017-1284-3. Epub 2017 Nov 17.

Abstract

During wildlife tourism, proximity or actual contact between people and animals may lead to a significant risk of anthropozoonotic disease transmission. In this paper, we use social network analysis, disease simulation modelling and data on animal health and behaviour to investigate such risks at a site in Morocco, where tourists come to see wild Barbary macaques (Macaca sylvanus). Measures of individual macaques' network centrality-an index of the strength and distribution of their social relationships and thus potentially their ability to spread disease-did not show clear and consistent relationships with their time spent in close proximity to, or rate of interacting with, tourists. Disease simulation modelling indicated that while higher-ranked animals had a significantly greater ability to spread disease within the group, in absolute terms there was little difference in the size of outbreaks that different individuals were predicted to cause. We observed a high rate of physical contact and close proximity between humans and macaques, including during three periods when the macaques were coughing and sneezing heavily, highlighting the potential risk of disease transmission. We recommend that general disease prevention strategies, such as those aimed at reducing opportunities for contact between tourists and macaques, should be adopted.

摘要

在野生动物旅游期间,人与动物之间的近距离接触或实际接触可能会导致人畜共患病传播的重大风险。在本文中,我们运用社会网络分析、疾病模拟建模以及动物健康与行为数据,对摩洛哥一个游客前来观赏野生巴巴利猕猴(猕猴属森林猕猴)的地点的此类风险进行调查。个体猕猴的网络中心性指标——衡量其社会关系强度和分布的指数,进而衡量其传播疾病的潜在能力——并未显示出与它们在近距离接触游客的时间或与游客互动的频率之间存在清晰且一致的关系。疾病模拟建模表明,虽然等级较高的动物在群体内传播疾病的能力明显更强,但就绝对数量而言,预计不同个体引发的疫情规模差异不大。我们观察到人与猕猴之间存在高度的身体接触和近距离接触,包括在猕猴剧烈咳嗽和打喷嚏的三个时期,这凸显了疾病传播的潜在风险。我们建议应采取一般性的疾病预防策略,例如旨在减少游客与猕猴接触机会的策略。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f2b6/5725503/cff6b826236d/10393_2017_1284_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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