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基于 CAMx 的大气脆弱性评估框架及其在环境管理和保护中的应用

An atmospheric vulnerability assessment framework for environment management and protection based on CAMx.

机构信息

Resources and Environmental Research Academy, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China.

Resources and Environmental Research Academy, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China.

出版信息

J Environ Manage. 2018 Feb 1;207:341-354. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2017.11.050. Epub 2017 Nov 27.

Abstract

This paper presents an atmospheric vulnerability assessment framework based on CAMx that should be helpful to assess potential impacts of changes in human, atmospheric environment, and social economic elements of atmospheric vulnerability. It is also a useful and effective tool that can provide policy-guidance for environmental protection and management to reduce the atmospheric vulnerability. The developed framework was applied to evaluate the atmospheric environment vulnerability of 13 cities in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) region for verification. The results indicated that regional disparity of the atmospheric vulnerability existed in the study site. More specifically, the central and southern regions show more atmospheric environment vulnerability than the northern regions. The impact factors of atmospheric environment vulnerability in the BTH region mainly derived from increasing population press, frequently unfavorable meteorological conditions, extensive economic growth of secondary industry, increased environmental pollution, and accelerating population aging. The framework shown in this paper is an interpretative and heuristic tool for a better understanding of atmospheric vulnerability. This framework can also be replicated at different spatial and temporal scales using context-specific datasets to straightly support environmental managers with decision-making.

摘要

本文提出了一个基于 CAMx 的大气脆弱性评估框架,该框架有助于评估人为因素、大气环境以及大气脆弱性的社会经济因素变化带来的潜在影响。这也是一个有用且有效的工具,可以为环境保护和管理提供政策指导,以降低大气脆弱性。该框架已应用于评估京津冀地区 13 个城市的大气环境脆弱性,并进行了验证。结果表明,研究区域存在大气脆弱性的区域差异。具体来说,中部和南部地区的大气环境脆弱性高于北部地区。京津冀地区大气环境脆弱性的影响因素主要来自人口压力增加、不利气象条件频繁出现、第二产业经济的广泛增长、环境污染加剧以及人口老龄化加速。本文提出的框架是理解大气脆弱性的一种解释性和启发式工具。该框架还可以使用特定于上下文的数据集在不同的空间和时间尺度上进行复制,以直接为环境管理者的决策提供支持。

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