Hasin D S, Endicott J, Keller M B
Columbia University College of Physicians and Surgeons, New York, NY.
Am J Psychiatry. 1989 Mar;146(3):318-23. doi: 10.1176/ajp.146.3.318.
The authors examined the 2-year course of alcoholism as defined by Research Diagnostic Criteria (RDC) in 127 newly admitted patients with major affective syndromes and concurrent alcoholism at intake. The cumulative probability of remission (at least 6 months free of alcohol problems) in these patients was 0.67. Many of the remissions began within a few weeks of intake; the remaining were distributed over the follow-up period. Of the patients without remissions, 17% died, half by suicide. Diagnoses of schizoaffective disorder, indicators of alcohol dependence, and previous chronicity of alcohol problems predicted poor outcome of alcoholism, but none of these variables predicted subsequent relapse.
作者们依据研究诊断标准(RDC),对127例新入院的患有重性情感综合征且入院时并发酒精中毒的患者的酒精中毒两年病程进行了研究。这些患者缓解(至少6个月无酒精问题)的累积概率为0.67。许多缓解情况在入院后的几周内就开始出现;其余的则分布在随访期内。在未缓解的患者中,17%死亡,其中一半死于自杀。精神分裂情感性障碍的诊断、酒精依赖指标以及既往酒精问题的慢性程度预示着酒精中毒的不良预后,但这些变量均未预测到随后的复发情况。