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混合交通条件下行人间隙穿越指数建模。

Modeling pedestrian gap crossing index under mixed traffic condition.

机构信息

Faculty of Engineering Technology, University Malaysia Pahang, Malaysia.

Faculty of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University Tun Hussein Onn Malaysia (UTHM), Beg Berkunci 101, 86400 Parit Raja, Batu Pahat Johor, Malaysia.

出版信息

J Safety Res. 2017 Dec;63:91-98. doi: 10.1016/j.jsr.2017.08.005. Epub 2017 Aug 26.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

There are a variety of challenges faced by pedestrians when they walk along and attempt to cross a road, as the most recorded accidents occur during this time. Pedestrians of all types, including both sexes with numerous aging groups, are always subjected to risk and are characterized as the most exposed road users. The increased demand for better traffic management strategies to reduce the risks at intersections, improve quality traffic management, traffic volume, and longer cycle time has further increased concerns over the past decade.

METHOD

This paper aims to develop a sustainable pedestrian gap crossing index model based on traffic flow density. It focusses on the gaps accepted by pedestrians and their decision for street crossing, where (Log-Gap) logarithm of accepted gaps was used to optimize the result of a model for gap crossing behavior. Through a review of extant literature, 15 influential variables were extracted for further empirical analysis. Subsequently, data from the observation at an uncontrolled mid-block in Jalan Ampang in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia was gathered and Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) and Binary Logit Model (BLM) techniques were employed to analyze the results.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS

From the results, different pedestrian behavioral characteristics were considered for a minimum gap size model, out of which only a few (four) variables could explain the pedestrian road crossing behavior while the remaining variables have an insignificant effect. Among the different variables, age, rolling gap, vehicle type, and crossing were the most influential variables. The study concludes that pedestrians' decision to cross the street depends on the pedestrian age, rolling gap, vehicle type, and size of traffic gap before crossing.

PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS

The inferences from these models will be useful to increase pedestrian safety and performance evaluation of uncontrolled midblock road crossings in developing countries.

摘要

引言

行人在行走和试图穿越道路时会面临各种挑战,因为大多数记录在案的事故都发生在这段时间。各种类型的行人,包括男女老少,都始终面临风险,并且是最易受伤害的道路使用者。过去十年,人们对改善交通管理策略以降低交叉口风险、提高交通质量、增加交通量和延长周期时间的需求不断增加,这进一步加剧了人们的担忧。

方法

本文旨在基于交通流量密度开发一种可持续的行人间隙穿越指数模型。它侧重于行人接受的间隙及其对街道穿越的决策,其中(对数间隙)接受间隙的对数用于优化用于间隙穿越行为的模型的结果。通过对现有文献的回顾,提取了 15 个有影响力的变量进行进一步的实证分析。随后,从马来西亚吉隆坡安邦路的一个无控制的中间街区收集了观测数据,并采用多元线性回归(MLR)和二元逻辑模型(BLM)技术对结果进行了分析。

结果与结论

从结果来看,最小间隙模型考虑了不同的行人行为特征,其中只有少数(四个)变量可以解释行人的道路穿越行为,而其余变量的影响则不显著。在不同的变量中,年龄、滚动间隙、车辆类型和穿越是最具影响力的变量。研究结论是,行人穿越街道的决定取决于行人的年龄、滚动间隙、车辆类型以及穿越前的交通间隙大小。

实际应用

这些模型的推论将有助于提高行人安全,并对发展中国家无控制的中间街区道路穿越的性能评估提供参考。

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