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贫民窟如何改变城市化与幸福的碳强度之间的关系?

How do slums change the relationship between urbanization and the carbon intensity of well-being?

作者信息

McGee Julius Alexander, Ergas Christina, Greiner Patrick Trent, Clement Matthew Thomas

机构信息

Department of Sociology, Portland State University, Portland, Oregon, United States of America.

Department of Sociology, University of Tennessee, Knoxville, Tennessee, United States of America.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2017 Dec 8;12(12):e0189024. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0189024. eCollection 2017.

Abstract

This study examines how the relationship between urbanization (measured as the percentage of total population living in urban areas) and the carbon intensity of well-being (CIWB) (measured as a ratio of carbon dioxide emissions and life expectancy) in most nations from 1960-2013 varies based on the economic context and whereabouts of a substantial portion of a nation's urban population. To accomplish this, we use the United Nations' (UN) definition of slum households to identify developing countries that have substantial slum populations, and estimate a Prais-Winsten regression model with panel-corrected standard errors (PCSE), allowing for disturbances that are heteroskedastic and contemporaneously correlated across panels. Our findings indicate that the rate of increase in CIWB for countries without substantial slum populations begins to slow down at higher levels of urbanization, however, the association between urbanization and CIWB is much smaller in countries with substantial slum populations. Overall, while urbanization is associated with increases in CIWB, the relationship between urban development and CIWB is vastly different in developed nations without slums than in under-developed nations with slums.

摘要

本研究考察了1960年至2013年期间,大多数国家的城市化(以城市地区总人口的百分比衡量)与幸福碳强度(CIWB)(以二氧化碳排放量与预期寿命的比率衡量)之间的关系如何因经济背景以及一个国家大部分城市人口的所在地而有所不同。为实现这一目标,我们使用联合国对贫民窟家庭的定义来识别拥有大量贫民窟人口的发展中国家,并估计一个具有面板校正标准误差(PCSE)的普莱斯-温斯顿回归模型,该模型允许存在异方差且面板间同期相关的扰动项。我们的研究结果表明,对于没有大量贫民窟人口的国家,CIWB的增长率在城市化水平较高时开始放缓,然而,在有大量贫民窟人口的国家,城市化与CIWB之间的关联要小得多。总体而言,虽然城市化与CIWB的增加相关,但在没有贫民窟的发达国家与有贫民窟的欠发达国家中,城市发展与CIWB之间的关系存在巨大差异。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6dc0/5722283/fc45b46254ea/pone.0189024.g001.jpg

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