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埃及剖宫产率的趋势及其相关因素:来自国家调查的证据,2005-2014 年。

Trend of caesarean deliveries in Egypt and its associated factors: evidence from national surveys, 2005-2014.

机构信息

Institute of Public Health, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, United Arab Emirates University, Al-Ain, United Arab Emirates.

出版信息

BMC Pregnancy Childbirth. 2017 Dec 13;17(1):417. doi: 10.1186/s12884-017-1591-2.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The continued rise in caesarean section (c-section) deliveries raises a major public health concern worldwide. This study assessed the trend of c-section deliveries and examined factors associated with a rise in c-section deliveries among the Egyptian mothers, from 2005 to 2014, by place of delivery.

METHODS

This study utilized the 2005, 2008, and 2014 Egypt Demographic and Health Surveys (EDHS). The EDHS reported on the mode of delivery for the last birth occurred within five years preceding each survey including place of delivery and sociodemographic information for a total sample of over 29,000 mothers in the three surveys. To document trend of c-section, the EDHS-2005 was set as a reference in two binary logistic regression models; among all mothers together and for mothers stratified by place of delivery (public or private). P-value for the trend was assessed by entering the year of the survey as a continuous variable. The study followed STROBE statement in reporting observational studies.

RESULTS

Institutional-based c-sections increased by 40.7 points from EDHS-2005 to EDHS-2014 (aOR, 3.46, 95%CI: 3.15-3.80, P  < 0.001). Compared to mothers with low socioeconomic status (SES), mothers with high SES had higher odds (aOR, 1.78, 95%CI: 1.25-2.54, P = 0.001) for c-section, but only in EDHS-2005. The adjusted trend of c-sections was found to be 4.19-time (95%CI: 3.73-4.70, P < 0.001) higher in private sector while that in public sector it was 2.67-time (95%CI: 2.27-3.13, P = 0.001) higher, in EDHS-2014 relative to EDHS-2005. This increase in the private sector is explained by significant increases among mothers who are potentially at low risk for c-sections; mothers aged 19-24 years vs. ≥35 years (aOR: 0.31, 95%CI: 0.21-0.45, in EDHS-2005 vs. 0.43, 95%CI: 0.33-0.56, in EDHS-2014, P < 0.001); primigravida mothers vs. mothers with ≥4 children (aOR: 1.62, 95%CI: 1.12-2.34, in EDHS-2005 vs. 3.76, 95%CI: 2.94-4.80 in EDHS-2014); and among normal compared to high risk birth weight babies (aOR: 0.79, 95%CI: 0.62-0.99 in EDHS-2005 P < 0.05 vs. 0.83, 95%CI: 0.65-1.04 in EDHS-2014, P > 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Results showed a steady rise in c-sections in Egypt that has reached an alarming level in recent years. This increase appears to be associated with a shift towards delivery in private health care facilities. More vigilance of c-section deliveries, particularly in the private sector, is warranted.

摘要

背景

剖宫产率的持续上升引起了全球范围内的重大公共卫生关注。本研究评估了 2005 年至 2014 年期间埃及母亲剖宫产率的趋势,并通过分娩地点检查了与剖宫产率上升相关的因素。

方法

本研究利用了 2005 年、2008 年和 2014 年埃及人口与健康调查(EDHS)的数据。EDHS 报告了最近五次分娩的分娩方式,包括分娩地点和社会人口学信息,三个调查的总样本超过 29000 名母亲。为了记录剖宫产率的趋势,EDHS-2005 被设定为两个二元逻辑回归模型的参考值;包括所有母亲和按分娩地点(公立或私立)分层的母亲。通过将调查年份作为连续变量输入,评估趋势的 P 值。本研究按照 STROBE 声明报告了观察性研究。

结果

机构性剖宫产率从 EDHS-2005 年到 EDHS-2014 年增加了 40.7 分(优势比,3.46,95%置信区间:3.15-3.80,P < 0.001)。与社会经济地位较低的母亲相比,社会经济地位较高的母亲剖宫产的可能性更高(优势比,1.78,95%置信区间:1.25-2.54,P = 0.001),但仅在 EDHS-2005 年。发现 EDHS-2014 年私立部门的剖宫产调整趋势比 EDHS-2005 年高出 4.19 倍(95%置信区间:3.73-4.70,P < 0.001),而公立部门的剖宫产调整趋势高出 2.67 倍(95%置信区间:2.27-3.13,P = 0.001)。私立部门剖宫产率的这种增加是由于潜在低风险剖宫产的母亲显著增加;19-24 岁的母亲与≥35 岁的母亲(优势比:0.31,95%置信区间:0.21-0.45,EDHS-2005 年与 0.43,95%置信区间:0.33-0.56,EDHS-2014 年,P < 0.001);初产妇与≥4 个孩子的母亲(优势比:1.62,95%置信区间:1.12-2.34,EDHS-2005 年与 3.76,95%置信区间:2.94-4.80,EDHS-2014 年,P < 0.001);与正常体重相比,高风险出生体重的婴儿(优势比:0.79,95%置信区间:0.62-0.99,EDHS-2005 年 P < 0.05 与 0.83,95%置信区间:0.65-1.04,EDHS-2014 年,P > 0.05)。

结论

结果显示,埃及的剖宫产率呈稳步上升趋势,近年来已达到令人担忧的水平。这种增加似乎与向私立医疗保健机构分娩的转变有关。特别是在私立部门,需要更加警惕剖宫产率。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8cba/5729511/80d2930b5736/12884_2017_1591_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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