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ACTION(急性冠状动脉治疗与干预结果网络)注册研究-GWTG(遵循指南)风险评分可预测急性心肌梗死的长期死亡率。

ACTION (acute coronary treatment and intervention outcomes network) registry-GWTG (get with the guidelines) risk score predicts long-term mortality in acute myocardial infarction.

作者信息

Yu Tongtong, Tian Chunyang, Song Jia, He Dongxu, Sun Zhijun, Sun Zhaoqing

机构信息

Department of Cardiology, Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang, Liaoning, P.R.China.

出版信息

Oncotarget. 2017 Oct 11;8(60):102559-102572. doi: 10.18632/oncotarget.21741. eCollection 2017 Nov 24.

Abstract

This study aimed to test the predictive performance of the updated ACTION, GRACE, and CADILLAC risk scores (RS's) for long-term mortality in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). The study included individuals from 2 independent cohorts: derivation cohort ( = 1901) and validation cohort ( = 728). From the derivation cohort, we used Cox regression analysis to determine that the updated ACTION, GRACE, and CADILLAC RS's were associated with long-term mortality. The concordance (C) statistics of the 3 RS's were 0.682, 0.703 and 0.734, respectively. We used the validation cohort to validate the results. Moreover, the discriminatory performance of the updated ACTION RS for predicting long-term mortality in both the respective derivation and validation cohorts was similar to the discriminatory performance of the GRACE and CADILLAC RS's (ACTION vs. GRACE: = 0.684, = 0.494; ACTION vs. CADILLAC: = 1.638, = 0.101) and (ACTION vs. GRACE: = 0.460, = 0.646; ACTION vs. CADILLAC: = 0.290, = 0.772). Despite their development over a decade ago, GRACE and CADILLAC RS's maintain good performance for predicting the long-term mortality of AMI patients undergoing PCI. As a new risk model, the updated ACTION RS also predicts long-term mortality, and its discriminatory performance is similar to that of the GRACE and CADILLAC RS's.

摘要

本研究旨在测试更新后的ACTION、GRACE和CADILLAC风险评分(RS)对接受经皮冠状动脉介入治疗(PCI)的急性心肌梗死(AMI)患者长期死亡率的预测性能。该研究纳入了来自2个独立队列的个体:推导队列(n = 1901)和验证队列(n = 728)。在推导队列中,我们使用Cox回归分析确定更新后的ACTION、GRACE和CADILLAC RS与长期死亡率相关。这3种RS的一致性(C)统计量分别为0.682、0.703和0.734。我们使用验证队列来验证结果。此外,更新后的ACTION RS在各自的推导队列和验证队列中预测长期死亡率的鉴别性能与GRACE和CADILLAC RS的鉴别性能相似(ACTION与GRACE比较:P = 0.684,P = 0.494;ACTION与CADILLAC比较:P = 1.638,P = 0.101)以及(ACTION与GRACE比较:P = 0.460,P = 0.646;ACTION与CADILLAC比较:P = 0.290,P = 0.772)。尽管GRACE和CADILLAC RS是十多年前开发的,但它们在预测接受PCI的AMI患者长期死亡率方面仍保持良好性能。作为一种新的风险模型,更新后的ACTION RS也能预测长期死亡率,且其鉴别性能与GRACE和CADILLAC RS相似。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/aee0/5731981/f7ee338339ee/oncotarget-08-102559-g001.jpg

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