School of Public and Environmental Affairs, Indiana University, Bloomington, Indiana 47405, USA; email:
School of Public and Environmental Affairs, Indiana University, Bloomington, Indiana 47405, USA, and National Bureau of Economic Research; email:
Annu Rev Public Health. 2018 Apr 1;39:453-469. doi: 10.1146/annurev-publhealth-040617-013507. Epub 2018 Jan 12.
The difference in difference (DID) design is a quasi-experimental research design that researchers often use to study causal relationships in public health settings where randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are infeasible or unethical. However, causal inference poses many challenges in DID designs. In this article, we review key features of DID designs with an emphasis on public health policy research. Contemporary researchers should take an active approach to the design of DID studies, seeking to construct comparison groups, sensitivity analyses, and robustness checks that help validate the method's assumptions. We explain the key assumptions of the design and discuss analytic tactics, supplementary analysis, and approaches to statistical inference that are often important in applied research. The DID design is not a perfect substitute for randomized experiments, but it often represents a feasible way to learn about casual relationships. We conclude by noting that combining elements from multiple quasi-experimental techniques may be important in the next wave of innovations to the DID approach.
差异中的差异 (DID) 设计是一种准实验研究设计,研究人员经常在随机对照试验 (RCT) 不可行或不道德的公共卫生环境中使用该设计来研究因果关系。然而,因果推断在 DID 设计中带来了许多挑战。本文重点介绍了 DID 设计的关键特征,特别关注公共卫生政策研究。当代研究人员应该积极采用 DID 研究的设计,努力构建对照组、敏感性分析和稳健性检查,以帮助验证该方法的假设。我们解释了设计的关键假设,并讨论了分析策略、补充分析以及在应用研究中通常很重要的统计推断方法。DID 设计不是随机实验的完美替代品,但它通常代表了了解因果关系的一种可行方式。最后我们注意到,将多种准实验技术的元素结合起来,对于 DID 方法的下一波创新可能很重要。