Program in Ecology/Department of Geography, University of Wyoming, Department 3371, 1000 East University Avenue, Laramie, Wyoming, 82071, USA.
Ecol Appl. 2018 Mar;28(2):284-290. doi: 10.1002/eap.1688. Epub 2018 Feb 27.
An understanding of how historical fire and structure in dry forests (ponderosa pine, dry mixed conifer) varied across the western United States remains incomplete. Yet, fire strongly affects ecosystem services, and forest restoration programs are underway. We used General Land Office survey reconstructions from the late 1800s across 11 landscapes covering ~1.9 million ha in four states to analyze spatial variation in fire regimes and forest structure. We first synthesized the state of validation of our methods using 20 modern validations, 53 historical cross-validations, and corroborating evidence. These show our method creates accurate reconstructions with low errors. One independent modern test reported high error, but did not replicate our method and made many calculation errors. Using reconstructed parameters of historical fire regimes and forest structure from our validated methods, forests were found to be non-uniform across the 11 landscapes, but grouped together in three geographical areas. Each had a mixture of fire severities, but dominated by low-severity fire and low median tree density in Arizona, mixed-severity fire and intermediate to high median tree density in Oregon-California, and high-severity fire and intermediate median tree density in Colorado. Programs to restore fire and forest structure could benefit from regional frameworks, rather than one size fits all.
对美国西部干旱森林(黄松、干混交针叶林)历史火灾和结构的变化方式的理解仍不完整。然而,火灾强烈影响着生态系统服务,森林恢复计划正在进行中。我们使用 19 世纪后期的美国土地局调查重建数据,对四个州的 11 个景观进行了分析,总面积约为 190 万公顷,分析了火灾发生情况和森林结构的空间变化。我们首先使用 20 次现代验证、53 次历史交叉验证和佐证证据综合评估了我们方法的验证状态。这些结果表明,我们的方法可以创建准确的重建结果,误差较低。一份独立的现代测试报告误差较高,但未复制我们的方法,且存在许多计算错误。使用经过验证的方法重建历史火灾情况和森林结构参数,我们发现 11 个景观中的森林分布不均匀,但可以分为三个地理区域。每个区域的火灾严重程度不同,但亚利桑那州以低严重程度火灾和低中位数树木密度为主,俄勒冈-加利福尼亚州以中等到高强度火灾和中等到高中位数树木密度为主,科罗拉多州则以高强度火灾和中等中位数树木密度为主。为了恢复火灾和森林结构,制定区域性框架比采用一刀切的方法更有优势。