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终局:北美职业运动员的死亡率结果。

The end game: Mortality outcomes in North American professional athletes.

机构信息

School of Kinesiology and Nutritional Science, California State University, Los Angeles, CA, USA.

Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Ontario Institute of Technology, Oshawa, ON, Canada.

出版信息

Scand J Med Sci Sports. 2018 Jun;28(6):1722-1730. doi: 10.1111/sms.13066. Epub 2018 Feb 27.

DOI:10.1111/sms.13066
PMID:29394512
Abstract

Comprehensive investigations into the mortality outcomes of elite athletes can assist in decoding risk factors for premature mortality and provide avenues for exploring human health through engagement in sport. As such, the purpose of this study was to comprehensively examine lifespan trends of athletes from the 4 major sports in North America: Major League Baseball (MLB), National Basketball Association (NBA), National Football League (NFL), and National Hockey League (NHL). We hypothesized that proportional death rates would be similar across the 4 sports, when standardizing the data by debut years. Overall, 17 523 of 50 515 (34.7%) athletes were deceased as of the respective data collection cutoff date for their sport, with MLB players having the highest risk of imminent mortality. Professional basketball players generally had the highest relative proportion of death when standardizing data by debut year, although NHL and NFL players who debuted after 2005 had the highest proportion of death. In addition, a 1-year increase in career length significantly decreased the risk of death (HR: 0.982, 95% CI: 0.978-0.985), even after adjusting for sport type (HR: 0.977, 95% CI: 0.974-0.980). Meaningful significance should be considered given the historical and unique nature of the sample. Nevertheless, investigating risk of death differences through different occupational and biological variables can help highlight aversive trends to lifespan that permeate throughout high-performance athlete populations.

摘要

对精英运动员的死亡率进行全面调查,可以帮助解码过早死亡的风险因素,并通过参与运动来探索人类健康的途径。因此,本研究的目的是全面研究北美四大运动(美国职棒大联盟、美国国家篮球协会、美国国家橄榄球联盟和国家冰球联盟)中运动员的寿命趋势。我们假设,在按出道年份标准化数据时,这 4 项运动的比例死亡率应该相似。截至各自运动数据收集截止日期,50515 名运动员中有 17523 名(34.7%)已经死亡,其中美国职棒大联盟球员的死亡风险最高。按出道年份标准化数据时,职业篮球运动员的死亡相对比例通常最高,尽管 NHL 和 NFL 中 2005 年后出道的球员的死亡比例最高。此外,职业生涯延长 1 年可显著降低死亡风险(HR:0.982,95%CI:0.978-0.985),即使在调整运动类型后(HR:0.977,95%CI:0.974-0.980)。鉴于样本的历史性和独特性,应该考虑到这一有意义的意义。然而,通过不同的职业和生物变量研究死亡风险差异,可以帮助突出贯穿高绩效运动员群体的不利寿命趋势。

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