Hardy Michael A, Hull Scott D, Zuckerberg Benjamin
Department of Forest & Wildlife Ecology University of Wisconsin-Madison Madison WI USA.
Office of Applied Science Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources Madison WI USA.
Ecol Evol. 2018 Jan 15;8(3):1906-1917. doi: 10.1002/ece3.3776. eCollection 2018 Feb.
Translocations have become an increasingly valuable tool for conservation in recent years, but assessing the successfulness of translocations and identifying factors that contribute to their success continue to challenge biologists. As a unique class of translocation, population reinforcements have received relatively little attention despite representing a substantial portion of translocation programs. Here, we conducted population viability analyses to quantify the effects of 216 reinforcement scenarios on the long-term viability of four populations of Greater Prairie-Chickens () in Wisconsin, USA, and used multiple linear regression to identify factors that had the greatest relative influence on population viability. We considered reinforcements from outside of the study area in addition to translocations among Wisconsin populations. We observed the largest decreases in site-specific extinction probability and the largest increases in the number of sites persisting for 50 years when more vulnerable populations were targeted for reinforcement. Conversely, reinforcing the most stable sites caused the greatest reduction in regional extinction probability. We found that the number of translocated hens was a comparatively poor predictor of changes in long-term population viability, whereas the earlier onset of reinforcement was consistently associated with the greatest increases in viability. Our results highlight the value of evaluating alternative reinforcement strategies a priori and considering the effects of reinforcement on metrics of long-term population persistence.
近年来,易位已成为保护工作中越来越有价值的工具,但评估易位的成功率以及确定促成其成功的因素仍然是生物学家面临的挑战。作为一类独特的易位方式,种群增强尽管在易位计划中占了很大一部分,但受到的关注相对较少。在此,我们进行了种群生存力分析,以量化216种增强情景对美国威斯康星州四种大草原榛鸡种群长期生存力的影响,并使用多元线性回归来确定对种群生存力有最大相对影响的因素。除了威斯康星州各种群之间的易位外,我们还考虑了来自研究区域外的增强。当针对更脆弱的种群进行增强时,我们观察到特定地点灭绝概率的最大降幅以及持续50年的地点数量的最大增幅。相反,增强最稳定的地点导致区域灭绝概率的最大降幅。我们发现,转移母鸡的数量对长期种群生存力变化的预测能力相对较差,而增强的较早开始一直与生存力的最大增幅相关。我们的结果凸显了事先评估替代增强策略以及考虑增强对长期种群持续性指标的影响的价值。