Department of Medicine, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA.
MacLean Center for Clinical Medical Ethics, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA.
Clin Transplant. 2018 Apr;32(4):e13223. doi: 10.1111/ctr.13223. Epub 2018 Mar 14.
The kidney allocation system (KAS) altered pediatric candidate prioritization. We determined KAS's impact on pediatric kidney recipients by examining delayed graft function (DGF) rates from 2010 to 2016. A propensity score-matched pediatric recipients pre- and post-KAS. A semiparametric decomposition analysis estimated the contributions of KAS-related changes in donor characteristics and dialysis time on DGF rate. The unadjusted odds of DGF were 69% higher post-KAS for young (<10 years at listing) recipients (N = 1153, P = .02) but were not significantly increased for older pediatric (10-17 years at listing) recipients (N = 2624, P = .48). Post-KAS, young recipients received significantly fewer pediatric (<18 years) donor kidneys (21% vs 32%, P < .01) and had longer median pretransplant dialysis time (603 vs 435 days, P < .01). After propensity score matching, post-KAS status increased the odds of DGF in young recipients 71% (OR 1.71, 95% CI 1.01-2.46). In decomposition analysis, 24% of the higher DGF rate post-KAS was attributable to donor characteristics and 19% to increased recipient dialysis time. In a confirmatory survival analysis, DGF was associated with a 2.2 times higher risk of graft failure (aHR2.28, 95% CI 1.46-3.54). In conclusion, KAS may lead to worse graft survival outcomes in children. Allocation changes should be considered.
肾脏分配系统 (KAS) 改变了儿科候选者的优先顺序。我们通过检查 2010 年至 2016 年期间的延迟移植物功能 (DGF) 发生率来确定 KAS 对儿科肾受体的影响。在 KAS 前后对接受者进行倾向评分匹配的儿科受体。半参数分解分析估计了与 KAS 相关的供体特征和透析时间变化对 DGF 发生率的贡献。在未调整的情况下,KAS 后年轻 (<10 岁) 受体 (N = 1153, P =.02) 的 DGF 发生率增加了 69%,但对于年龄较大的儿科 (<10-17 岁) 受体 (N = 2624, P =.48) 并未显著增加。KAS 后,年轻受体接受的儿童 (<18 岁) 供体肾脏明显减少 (21%对 32%,P <.01),且中位移植前透析时间延长 (603 对 435 天,P <.01)。在进行倾向评分匹配后,KAS 后 DGF 的发生几率使年轻受体增加了 71% (OR 1.71,95% CI 1.01-2.46)。在分解分析中,KAS 后 DGF 发生率升高的 24%归因于供体特征,19%归因于受体透析时间的增加。在确认的生存分析中,DGF 与移植物失败的风险增加 2.2 倍相关 (aHR2.28,95% CI 1.46-3.54)。总之,KAS 可能导致儿童的移植物存活率下降。应考虑分配变化。