Pyper K, Eddleston M, Bateman D N, Lupton D, Bradberry S, Sandilands E, Thomas Shl, Thompson J P, Robertson C
1 Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, UK.
2 Pharmacology, Toxicology & Therapeutics, University/BHF Centre for Cardiovascular Research, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
Hum Exp Toxicol. 2018 Nov;37(11):1207-1214. doi: 10.1177/0960327118759405. Epub 2018 Feb 20.
To examine temporal trends in accesses to the UK's National Poison Information Service's TOXBASE database in Britain.
Generalized additive models were used to examine trends in daily numbers of accesses to TOXBASE from British emergency departments between January 2008 and December 2015. Day-of-the-week, seasonality and long-term trends were analysed at national and regional levels (Wales, Scotland and the nine English Government Office Regions).
The long-term trend in daily accesses increases from 2.8 (95% confidence interval (CI): 2.6-3.0) per user on 1 January 2008 to 4.6 (95% CI: 4.3-4.9) on 31 December 2015, with small but significant differences in population-corrected accesses by region ( p < 0.001). There are statistically significant seasonal and day of the week patterns ( p < 0.001) across all regions. Accesses are 18% (95% CI: 14-22%) higher in summer than in January and at the weekend compared to weekdays in all regions; there is a 7.5% (95% CI: 6.1-8.9%) increase between Friday and Sunday.
There are consistent in-year patterns in access to TOXBASE indicating potential seasonal patterns in poisonings in Britain, with location-dependent rates of usage. This novel descriptive work lays the basis for future work on the interaction of TOXBASE use with emergency admission of patients into hospital.
