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青少年和青年人群中的结核病发病率:全球估计数。

The incidence of tuberculosis among adolescents and young adults: a global estimate.

机构信息

Centre for International Child Health, University of Melbourne Dept of Paediatrics and Murdoch Children's Research Institute, The Royal Children's Hospital, Melbourne, Australia

School of Population and Global Health, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia.

出版信息

Eur Respir J. 2018 Feb 21;51(2). doi: 10.1183/13993003.02352-2017. Print 2018 Feb.

Abstract

Historical data show that the risk of tuberculosis increases dramatically during adolescence, and young people face unique challenges in terms of case detection and effective treatment. However, little is known about the burden of tuberculosis among young people in the modern era. This study aimed to provide the first estimates of the global and regional incidence of tuberculosis among young people aged 10-24 years.Using the World Health Organization (WHO) database of tuberculosis notifications for 2012, we estimated the burden of tuberculosis among young people by WHO region. Adjustments were made for incomplete age disaggregation and underreporting, using supplementary data from several countries representing diverse tuberculosis epidemics.We estimate that 1.78 million (uncertainty interval (UI) 1.23-3.00 million) young people developed tuberculosis in 2012, accounting for 17% of all new tuberculosis cases globally. Young people in the WHO South East Asian Region (721 000, UI 473 000-1.35 million) and the WHO African Region (534 000, UI 359 000-912 000) experienced the greatest number of tuberculosis episodes.Young people suffer a considerable burden of tuberculosis. Age-specific burden of disease estimation for this age group is complicated by incomplete age disaggregation of tuberculosis data, highlighting the importance of continued surveillance system strengthening.

摘要

历史数据显示,结核病风险在青少年时期急剧增加,年轻人在发现病例和有效治疗方面面临独特的挑战。然而,目前对于现代年轻人中结核病的负担知之甚少。本研究旨在首次估计全球和各区域 10-24 岁年轻人的结核病发病率。

本研究利用世界卫生组织(WHO)2012 年结核病报告数据库,按世卫组织区域估计年轻人的结核病负担。使用代表不同结核病流行情况的几个国家的补充数据,对年龄细分不完全和报告不足进行了调整。

我们估计 2012 年有 178 万(不确定区间(UI)123 万-300 万)年轻人患结核病,占全球所有新结核病病例的 17%。在世卫组织东南亚区域(721000,UI 473000-1350 万)和世卫组织非洲区域(534000,UI 359000-912000),年轻人结核病发病率最高。

年轻人结核病负担沉重。由于结核病数据的年龄细分不完全,针对该年龄组的特定年龄疾病负担估计变得复杂,这突显了继续加强监测系统的重要性。

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