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荷兰重症监护病房血液恶性肿瘤患者长期预后的时间趋势分析。

Time trend analysis of long term outcome of patients with haematological malignancies admitted at dutch intensive care units.

机构信息

Department of Critical Care, University Medical Centre Groningen, University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands.

Department of Intensive Care Medicine, Academic Medical Centre, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.

出版信息

Br J Haematol. 2018 Apr;181(1):68-76. doi: 10.1111/bjh.15140. Epub 2018 Feb 22.

Abstract

A few decades ago, the chances of survival for patients with a haematological malignancy needing Intensive Care Unit (ICU) support were minimal. As a consequence, ICU admission policy was cautious. We hypothesized that the long-term outcome of patients with a haematological malignancy admitted to the ICU has improved in recent years. Furthermore, our objective was to evaluate the predictive value of the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II score. A total of 1095 patients from 5 Dutch university hospitals were included from 2003 until 2015. We studied the prevalence of patients' characteristics over time. By using annual odds ratios, we analysed which patients' characteristics could have had influenced possible trends in time. A approximated mortality rate was compared with the ICU mortality rate, to study the predictive value of the APACHE II score. Overall one-year mortality was 62%. The annual decrease in one-year mortality was 7%, whereas the APACHE II score increased over time. Decreased mortality rates were particularly observed in high-risk patients (acute myeloid leukaemia, old age, low platelet count, bleeding as admission reason and need for mechanical ventilation within 24 h of ICU admission). Furthermore, the APACHE II score overestimates mortality in this patient category.

摘要

几十年前,需要重症监护病房(ICU)支持的血液恶性肿瘤患者的生存率非常低。因此,ICU 入院政策非常谨慎。我们假设,近年来,住进 ICU 的血液恶性肿瘤患者的长期预后有所改善。此外,我们的目的是评估急性生理学和慢性健康评估(APACHE)Ⅱ评分的预测价值。从 2003 年到 2015 年,我们从 5 家荷兰大学医院共纳入了 1095 名患者。我们研究了患者特征随时间的变化情况。通过使用年度比值比,我们分析了哪些患者特征可能会对时间上的趋势产生影响。我们比较了近似死亡率和 ICU 死亡率,以研究 APACHE Ⅱ评分的预测价值。总体而言,一年后的死亡率为 62%。一年死亡率的年下降幅度为 7%,而 APACHE Ⅱ评分则随时间而增加。死亡率的下降尤其在高危患者(急性髓细胞白血病、高龄、血小板计数低、入院时出血以及 ICU 入院后 24 小时内需要机械通气)中观察到。此外,APACHE Ⅱ评分在该患者群体中高估了死亡率。

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