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省级特征对西班牙城际道路交通事故受害者人数的影响。

Impact of provincial characteristics on the number of traffic accident victims on interurban roads in Spain.

机构信息

Faculty of Economic and Business Sciences, University of Castilla-La Mancha, Plaza de la Universidad, 102071, Albacete, Spain.

出版信息

Accid Anal Prev. 2018 Sep;118:178-189. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2018.02.015. Epub 2018 Feb 22.

Abstract

This study has two aims. The first is to determine how various factors impact on the number of fatalities, serious injuries and slight injuries adjusted for the level of traffic on interurban roads in Spain. The second is to establish the number of victims per million vehicle-kilometres (veh-km) travelled on interurban roads in each province resulting from the effect of its specific characteristics. To this end, we developed six fixed effect panel data models with panel corrected standard errors for the 1999-2015 period. Our results show that while the proportion of high capacity roads, the unemployment rate and the motorization rate contribute to a reduction in the number of fatalities, serious injuries and slight injuries adjusted for level of traffic, the penalty-points licence system is effective in reducing the number of fatalities and serious injuries but not the number of slight injuries. Furthermore, the specific conditions in Ávila, Toledo, Madrid, Santa Cruz de Tenerife, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, the Balearic Islands, Lleida and all the provinces on the Mediterranean coast cause a higher number of victims per million veh-km travelled than in the remaining provinces. Thus, greater public investment and more socially responsible behaviour are essential tools for reducing the number of traffic accident victims on Spanish interurban roads. Moreover, the provincial institutions emerge as key agents in improving road safety, due to their greater knowledge of the specific conditions and factors affecting each province.

摘要

本研究有两个目的。第一个目的是确定各种因素如何影响西班牙城际道路上的交通量调整后的死亡人数、重伤人数和轻伤人数。第二个目的是确定每个省份因特定特征而导致的每百万车公里(veh-km)行驶的受害者人数。为此,我们针对 1999-2015 年期间开发了六个具有面板校正标准误差的固定效应面板数据模型。我们的研究结果表明,虽然高容量道路的比例、失业率和机动车化率有助于减少交通量调整后的死亡人数、重伤人数和轻伤人数,但扣分驾照制度在减少死亡人数和重伤人数方面是有效的,但不能减少轻伤人数。此外,阿维拉、托莱多、马德里、特内里费圣克鲁斯、大加那利拉斯帕尔马斯、巴利阿里群岛、莱里达和地中海沿岸所有省份的具体情况导致每百万 veh-km 行驶的受害者人数高于其他省份。因此,增加公共投资和更具社会责任感的行为是减少西班牙城际道路交通事故受害者人数的重要工具。此外,由于其对每个省份的具体情况和影响因素有更深入的了解,省级机构成为改善道路安全的关键机构。

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