Rivas-Ruiz Francisco, Perea-Milla Emilio, Jimenez-Puente Alberto
Unidad de Apoyo a la Investigación (Red IRYSS), Hospital Costa del Sol, Ctra Nacional 340, km 187, 29600 Marbella, Spain.
BMC Public Health. 2007 Sep 26;7:266. doi: 10.1186/1471-2458-7-266.
The aim of the present study is to describe the inter-province variability of Road Traffic Injury (RTI) mortality on Spanish roads, adjusted for vehicle-kilometres travelled, and to assess the possible role played by the following explicative variables: sociodemographic, structural, climatic and risk conducts.
An ecological study design was employed. The mean annual rate of RTI deaths was calculated for the period 2002-2004, adjusted for vehicle-kilometres travelled, in the 50 provinces of Spain. The RTI death rate was related with the independent variables described above, using simple and multiple linear regression analysis with backward step-wise elimination. The level of statistical significance was taken as p < 0.05.
In the period 2002-2004 there were 12,756 RTI deaths in Spain (an average of 4,242 per year, SD = 356.6). The mean number of deaths due to RTI per 100 million vehicle-kilometres (mvk) travelled was 1.76 (SD = 0.51), with a minimum value of 0.66 (in Santa Cruz de Tenerife) and a maximum of 3.31 (in the province of Lugo). All other variables being equal, a higher proportion of kilometres available on high capacity roads, and a higher cultural and education level were associated with lower death rates due to RTI, while the opposite was true for the rate of alcohol consumers and the road traffic volume of heavy vehicles. The variables included in the model accounted for 55.4% of the variability in RTI mortality.
Adjusting RTI mortality rates for the number of vehicle-kilometres travelled enables us to identify the high variability of this cause of death, and its relation with risk factors other than those inherent to human behaviour, such as the type of roads and the type of vehicles using them.
本研究的目的是描述西班牙道路上道路交通伤害(RTI)死亡率在各省之间的差异,并根据行驶的车辆公里数进行调整,同时评估以下解释变量可能发挥的作用:社会人口统计学、结构、气候和风险行为。
采用生态研究设计。计算了西班牙50个省份在2002 - 2004年期间经行驶车辆公里数调整后的RTI死亡年均率。使用简单和多元线性回归分析以及向后逐步消除法,将RTI死亡率与上述自变量相关联。统计学显著性水平设定为p < 0.05。
在2002 - 2004年期间,西班牙有12,756例RTI死亡(平均每年4,242例,标准差 = 356.6)。每行驶1亿车辆公里(mvk)的RTI死亡平均人数为1.76(标准差 = 0.51),最小值为0.66(在圣克鲁斯 - 德特内里费),最大值为3.31(在卢戈省)。在所有其他变量相同的情况下,高容量道路上可用公里数的比例较高以及文化和教育水平较高与较低的RTI死亡率相关,而酒精消费者比例和重型车辆道路交通量则相反。模型中包含的变量解释了RTI死亡率变异性的55.4%。
根据行驶的车辆公里数调整RTI死亡率,使我们能够识别这种死亡原因的高变异性,以及它与人类行为固有风险因素之外的其他风险因素的关系,例如道路类型和使用这些道路的车辆类型。