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创伤入院率和机制在经济衰退和复苏期间的变化:来自底特律大都市区的证据。

Changes in trauma admission rates and mechanisms during recession and recovery: evidence from the Detroit metropolitan area.

机构信息

Department of Surgery, St. John Hospital and Medical Center, 22101 Moross Rd, Professional Building 1, Suite 212, Detroit, MI, 48236, USA.

出版信息

Int J Public Health. 2018 Sep;63(7):847-854. doi: 10.1007/s00038-018-1087-5. Epub 2018 Mar 15.

DOI:10.1007/s00038-018-1087-5
PMID:29546441
Abstract

OBJECTIVES

Although individual socioeconomic status has been linked with risk of traumatic injury, there has been relatively little research into the question of how economic changes may impact trauma admission rates in neighborhoods with different socioeconomic backgrounds.

METHODS

This study pairs ZIP code-level data on trauma admissions with county-level data on unemployment to assess differences in the type of changes experienced in more and less affluent neighborhoods of the Detroit metropolitan area between 2006 and 2014.

RESULTS

Conditional linear growth curve modeling results indicate that trauma admission rates decreased during the "great recession" of 2008-2010 in neighborhoods with the highest unemployment levels, but increased during the same period of time in neighborhoods with lower unemployment. Consequently, citywide disparities in trauma incidence decreased during the recession and widened again as the economy began to improve.

CONCLUSION

Trauma risks and demand for trauma care may shift geographically in relation to broader economic changes. Health care policy and planning should consider these dynamics when anticipating changing demands and needs for efforts at prevention.

摘要

目的

尽管个体社会经济地位与创伤风险相关,但对于经济变化如何影响具有不同社会经济背景的社区的创伤入院率,相关研究相对较少。

方法

本研究将创伤入院的邮政编码数据与县一级的失业率数据相匹配,以评估 2006 年至 2014 年底特律大都市区贫富社区经历的变化类型的差异。

结果

条件线性增长曲线建模结果表明,在失业率最高的社区,2008-2010 年“大衰退”期间创伤入院率下降,但在失业率较低的社区,同期创伤入院率上升。因此,随着经济开始好转,全市范围内的创伤发生率差距在衰退期间缩小,之后又再次扩大。

结论

与更广泛的经济变化相比,创伤风险和创伤护理需求可能在地理上发生转移。在预测不断变化的需求和预防工作的需求时,医疗政策和规划应考虑这些动态。

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2
Why have fatality rates among older drivers declined? The relative contributions of changes in survivability and crash involvement.老年驾驶员的死亡率为何下降?生存能力变化和撞车事故发生率变化的相对影响。
Accid Anal Prev. 2015 Oct;83:67-73. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2015.06.012. Epub 2015 Jul 26.
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Deaths from unintentional injury among adults aged 65 and over: United States, 2000-2013.
2000 - 2013年美国65岁及以上成年人的意外伤害死亡情况
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The epidemiology of firearm violence in the twenty-first century United States.二十一世纪美国枪支暴力的流行病学研究
Annu Rev Public Health. 2015 Mar 18;36:5-19. doi: 10.1146/annurev-publhealth-031914-122535. Epub 2014 Dec 12.
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Abusive head trauma during a time of increased unemployment: a multicenter analysis.在失业率上升时期发生的虐待性头部创伤:一项多中心分析。
Pediatrics. 2011 Oct;128(4):637-43. doi: 10.1542/peds.2010-2185. Epub 2011 Sep 19.
6
Increased incidence of nonaccidental head trauma in infants associated with the economic recession.与经济衰退相关的婴儿非意外性头部创伤发生率增加。
J Neurosurg Pediatr. 2011 Aug;8(2):171-6. doi: 10.3171/2011.5.PEDS1139.
7
Unemployment rates and trauma admissions.失业率与创伤入院人数。
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8
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Arch Intern Med. 2007 Jun 25;167(12):1233-9. doi: 10.1001/archinte.167.12.1233.
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J Trauma. 2006 Sep;61(3):723-31. doi: 10.1097/01.ta.0000210453.70742.7f.