Odum School of Ecology, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, USA; Center for the Ecology of Infectious Diseases, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, USA; Center for Tropical Emerging Global Diseases, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, USA.
Odum School of Ecology, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, USA; Center for the Ecology of Infectious Diseases, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, USA; Center for Tropical Emerging Global Diseases, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, USA; Department of Infectious Disease, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, USA; Center for Vaccines and Immunology, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, USA; River Basin Center, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, USA.
Trends Parasitol. 2018 Jul;34(7):544-547. doi: 10.1016/j.pt.2018.02.010. Epub 2018 Mar 15.
New mosquito-borne diseases have emerged on multiple occasions over the last several decades, raising fears that there are yet more poorly understood viruses that may emerge in the USA. Here, we provide a data-driven 'watch list' of viruses in the Flaviviridae family with high potential to emerge in the USA, identified using statistical techniques, to enable the public health community to better target surveillance. We suggest that public health authorities further incorporate predictive modeling techniques into disease-prevention strategies.
过去几十年中,多次出现新的蚊媒传染病,引发了人们的担忧,即可能还有更多人们尚未充分了解的病毒会在美国出现。在这里,我们使用统计技术提供了一份具有高潜在在美国出现的黄病毒科病毒的“观察清单”,使公共卫生界能够更好地针对监测目标。我们建议公共卫生当局在疾病预防策略中进一步纳入预测模型技术。