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福利会抑制成功吗?将贫困青年从残疾名单中移除的长期影响。

Does Welfare Inhibit Success? The Long-Term Effects of Removing Low-Income Youth from the Disability Rolls.

机构信息

Department of Economics, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL.

出版信息

Am Econ Rev. 2016 Nov;106(11):3300-30. doi: 10.1257/aer.20151129.

DOI:10.1257/aer.20151129
PMID:29552877
Abstract

I estimate the effects of removing low-income youth with disabilities from Supplemental Security Income (SSI) on their earnings and income in adulthood. Using a regression discontinuity design based on a 1996 policy change in age 18 medical reviews, I find that youth who are removed from SSI at age 18 recover one-third of the lost SSI cash income in earnings. SSI youth who are removed and stay off SSI earn on average $4,400 annually, and they lose $76,000 in present discounted observed income over the 16 years following removal relative to those who do not receive a review.

摘要

我估计将残疾低收入青年从补充保障收入(SSI)中移除对他们成年后的收入和收益的影响。基于 1996 年对 18 岁医疗审查的政策变更,我使用回归不连续性设计,发现那些在 18 岁时被从 SSI 中移除的年轻人在收入中恢复了三分之一的损失的 SSI 现金收入。被移除且不再领取 SSI 的 SSI 青年平均每年收入 4400 美元,与那些没有接受审查的人相比,他们在移除后的 16 年中损失了 76000 美元的现值观察收入。

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