Brown David W, Kowalski Amanda E, Lurie Ithai Z
Office of Tax Analysis, US Department of the Treasury.
Corresponding author. Department of Economics, University of Michigan. 213 Lorch Hall, 611 Tappan Avenue, Ann Arbor, MI 48019.
Rev Econ Stud. 2020 Mar;87(2):792-821. doi: 10.1093/restud/rdz039. Epub 2019 Jul 25.
We use administrative data from the IRS to examine long-term impacts of childhood Medicaid eligibility expansions on outcomes in adulthood at each age from 19-28. Greater Medicaid eligibility increases college enrollment and decreases fertility, especially through age 21. Starting at age 23, females have higher contemporaneous wage income, although male increases are imprecise. Together, both genders have lower mortality. These adults collect less from the earned income tax credit and pay more in taxes. Cumulatively from ages 19-28, at a 3% discount rate, the federal government recoups 58 cents of each dollar of its "investment" in childhood Medicaid.
我们使用美国国税局的行政数据，来研究儿童医疗补助资格扩大对19至28岁各年龄段成年期结局的长期影响。更高的医疗补助资格增加了大学入学率并降低了生育率，尤其是在21岁之前。从23岁开始，女性有更高的当期工资收入，尽管男性收入的增加并不确切。总体而言，两性的死亡率都较低。这些成年人从劳动所得税抵免中获得的收入减少，缴纳的税款增多。从19岁到28岁累计计算，按3%的贴现率，联邦政府在儿童医疗补助上每投入1美元，可收回0.58美元。
