Center for Innovation to Implementation, Veterans Affairs Palo Alto Health Care System, Menlo Park, California.
J Stud Alcohol Drugs. 2018 Mar;79(2):163-170. doi: 10.15288/jsad.2018.79.163.
In recent years, a shift has occurred from identifying variables that mediate the effects of psychosocial interventions for problematic alcohol use to trying to identify effective mechanisms of behavior change (MOBCs) that lead to better drinking-related and other outcomes. Although implementing interventions targeting specific MOBCs has considerable conceptual and intuitive appeal, it is important that strong empirical evidence be available that supports such implementation. One aim of this article is to consider some prior mediational analyses of the effects of alcohol-focused psychosocial treatments to illustrate findings and the types of evidence that typically have been presented. A second aim is to consider methodological approaches, specifically certain statistical analyses of observational data and experimental designs, that could provide more rigorous evidence regarding the causal effects of mechanisms of change (mediators) in producing desired drinking-related outcomes.
Prior analyses that have examined the association of a mediator with an outcome, or the relationship between a mediator and an outcome with assigned treatment controlled, do not provide strong evidence regarding the causal effects of mediators on outcomes. Unfortunately, experimental designs that directly manipulate mediators seem difficult to apply in the alcohol treatment field as an approach to examine mediator/MOBC effects.
To produce more compelling evidence, we need to investigate interventions that target a specific MOBC and then capitalize on random assignment to intervention/control conditions by using principal stratification or instrumental variable analyses to identify the effects of intervention-induced mediator change on outcomes.
近年来,人们的关注点已经从确定能够调节有问题的酒精使用的心理社会干预效果的变量,转变为尝试确定能够导致更好的饮酒相关和其他结果的有效的行为改变机制(MOBC)。虽然针对特定 MOBC 实施干预措施具有相当大的概念和直观吸引力,但重要的是,需要有强有力的实证证据来支持这种实施。本文的一个目的是考虑一些以前对酒精为重点的心理社会治疗效果的中介分析,以说明通常呈现的发现和证据类型。第二个目的是考虑方法学方法,特别是观察数据和实验设计的某些统计分析,这些方法可以为改变机制(中介物)在产生所需的饮酒相关结果方面的因果效应提供更严格的证据。
先前的分析已经检查了中介物与结果之间的关联,或者中介物与结果之间的关系与指定的治疗控制之间的关系,并不能提供关于中介物对结果的因果效应的有力证据。不幸的是,直接操纵中介物的实验设计似乎很难在酒精治疗领域应用,因为这种方法是为了检验中介物/ MOBC 效应。
为了产生更有说服力的证据,我们需要研究针对特定 MOBC 的干预措施,然后通过使用主要分层或工具变量分析,利用随机分配给干预/对照条件,来确定干预引起的中介物变化对结果的影响,从而利用主要分层或工具变量分析来确定干预引起的中介物变化对结果的影响。