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乳酸水平的加入提高了快速序贯器官衰竭评估在预测合并腹腔内感染的外科患者死亡率方面的准确性:一项回顾性研究。

Addition of lactic acid levels improves the accuracy of quick sequential organ failure assessment in predicting mortality in surgical patients with complicated intra-abdominal infections: a retrospective study.

机构信息

1Department of Surgery, Yonsei University College of Medicine, 50-1 Yonsei-ro, Seodaemun-gu, Seoul, 03722 Republic of Korea.

2Yonsei University College of Nursing, 50-1 Yonsei-ro, Seodaemun-gu, Seoul, 03722 Republic of Korea.

出版信息

World J Emerg Surg. 2018 Mar 13;13:14. doi: 10.1186/s13017-018-0173-6. eCollection 2018.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The quick sequential organ failure assessment (qSOFA) alone has a poor sensitivity for predicting mortality in patients with complicated intra-abdominal infections, and plasma lactate levels have been shown to have a strong association with mortality in critically ill patients. Therefore, this study aimed to compare the performance of qSOFA with a score derived from a combination of qSOFA and serum lactate levels for predicting mortality in surgical patients with complicated intra-abdominal infections.

METHODS

This retrospective study was performed at a university hospital. The medical records of 457 patients who presented to the emergency department (ED) between January 2008 and December 2016 and required emergency gastrointestinal surgery for a complicated intra-abdominal infection were reviewed retrospectively. qSOFA criteria, sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) scores, and plasma lactate levels during their ED stay were collected. We performed area under receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve and sensitivity analysis to compare the performance of qSOFA alone with that of a score derived from the use of a combination of the qSOFA and lactate levels for predicting patient mortality.

RESULTS

Fifty patients (10.9%) died during hospitalization. The combined qSOFA and lactate level score was superior to qSOFA alone (AUROC = 0.754 vs. 0.717,  = 0.039, respectively) and comparable to the full SOFA score (AUROC = 0.754 vs. 0.795,  = 0.127, respectively) in predicting mortality. Sensitivity and specificity of qSOFA alone were 46 and 86%, respectively, and those of the combined score were 72 and 73%, respectively ( < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

A score derived from the qSOFA and serum lactate levels had better predictive performance with higher sensitivity than the qSOFA alone in predicting mortality in patients with complicated intra-abdominal infections and had a comparable predictive performance to that of the full SOFA score.

摘要

背景

单独使用快速序贯器官衰竭评估(qSOFA)预测复杂腹腔内感染患者死亡率的敏感性较差,而血浆乳酸水平与危重症患者死亡率有很强的关联。因此,本研究旨在比较 qSOFA 与 qSOFA 联合血清乳酸水平评分对预测复杂腹腔内感染手术患者死亡率的性能。

方法

本回顾性研究在一所大学医院进行。回顾性分析了 2008 年 1 月至 2016 年 12 月期间因复杂腹腔内感染就诊并需要急诊胃肠手术的 457 例患者的病历。收集了 qSOFA 标准、序贯器官衰竭评估(SOFA)评分和急诊期间的血浆乳酸水平。我们进行了受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线下面积(AUROC)和敏感性分析,以比较 qSOFA 单独使用与使用 qSOFA 联合乳酸水平组合评分预测患者死亡率的性能。

结果

50 例(10.9%)患者在住院期间死亡。联合 qSOFA 和乳酸水平评分优于单独使用 qSOFA(AUROC 分别为 0.754 与 0.717,= 0.039),与完整的 SOFA 评分相当(AUROC 分别为 0.754 与 0.795,= 0.127)。qSOFA 单独使用的敏感性和特异性分别为 46%和 86%,联合评分分别为 72%和 73%(<0.001)。

结论

与单独使用 qSOFA 相比,qSOFA 联合血清乳酸水平评分预测复杂腹腔内感染患者死亡率的预测性能更好,具有更高的敏感性,与完整的 SOFA 评分预测性能相当。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5f41/5851244/c926f34f419d/13017_2018_173_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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