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短期暴露于大气污染与每日死亡率之间的关联:中国东部的一项时间序列研究。

Association between short-term exposure to ambient air pollution and daily mortality: a time-series study in Eastern China.

机构信息

Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Zhejiang University School of Public Health, NO. 866 Yuhangtang Road, Xihu District, Hangzhou, 310058, Zhejiang, China.

Research Center for Air Pollution and Health, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, 310058, Zhejiang, China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2018 Jun;25(16):16135-16143. doi: 10.1007/s11356-018-1759-y. Epub 2018 Mar 29.

Abstract

Few studies were conducted to evaluate health effects of acute exposure to PM and daily mortality in Asian countries due to lack of large-scale PM monitoring data. We conducted a time-series study to examine the associations of short-term exposure to four common air pollutants (PM, PM, NO, and SO) and daily mortality in Ningbo, Zhejiang, China. We used generalized addictive model (GAM) to estimate relative risks (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the association of these four air pollutants with daily mortality. The study included 9365 people in the 2-year study period from 2014 to 2015. SO were significantly associated with risk of NAD, RD, and CD mortality with RRs of 1.034 (95% CI 1.004, 1.064), 1.067 (95% CI 1.010, 1.127), and 1.049 (95% CI 1.001, 1.098), respectively.PM and PM were significantly associated with risk of death from NAD mortality in warm season. Similar associations were observed for PM (RR = 1.056, 95% CI 1.004, 1.111) and risk of CD mortality. The study provides further evidence that short-term exposure to PM, PM, NO, and SO are associated with increased risk of daily mortality.

摘要

由于缺乏大规模的 PM 监测数据,很少有研究评估亚洲国家急性 PM 暴露对健康的影响和每日死亡率。我们进行了一项时间序列研究,以检验短期暴露于四种常见空气污染物(PM、PM、NO 和 SO)与中国浙江宁波每日死亡率之间的关联。我们使用广义加性模型(GAM)来估计这些四种空气污染物与每日死亡率之间关联的相对风险(RR)和 95%置信区间(CI)。该研究包括 2014 年至 2015 年为期两年的 9365 名研究对象。SO 与 NAD、RD 和 CD 死亡率的风险显著相关,RR 分别为 1.034(95%CI 1.004,1.064)、1.067(95%CI 1.010,1.127)和 1.049(95%CI 1.001,1.098)。PM 和 PM 与温暖季节 NAD 死亡率的风险显著相关。PM 与 RD 死亡率的风险也存在类似的关联(RR=1.056,95%CI 1.004,1.111)和 CD 死亡率。该研究提供了进一步的证据,表明短期暴露于 PM、PM、NO 和 SO 与每日死亡率的增加风险相关。

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