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六季严重住院流感病例中抗病毒治疗预防死亡的效果。

Effectiveness of antiviral treatment in preventing death in severe hospitalised influenza cases over six seasons.

机构信息

Departament de Medicina, Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.

CIBER Epidemiología y Salud Pública (CIBERESP), Madrid, Spain.

出版信息

Epidemiol Infect. 2018 May;146(7):799-808. doi: 10.1017/S0950268818000663. Epub 2018 Apr 2.

Abstract

We investigated the predictors of neuraminidase inhibitor (NAI) treatment in severe hospitalised influenza cases and the association between antiviral treatment and mortality. An observational epidemiological study was carried out in Catalonia (Spain) during 2010-2016 in patients aged ⩾18 years. Severe hospitalised cases of laboratory-confirmed influenza requiring hospitalisation were included. We collected demographic, virological and clinical characteristics. Mixed-effects logistic regression was used to estimate crude and adjusted odds ratio (aOR). We included 1727 hospitalised patients, of whom 1577 (91.3%) received NAI. Receiving NAI ⩽48 h after onset of clinical symptoms (aOR 0.37, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.22-0.63), ⩽3 days (aOR 0.49, 95% CI 0.30-0.79) and ⩽5 days (aOR 0.50, 95% CI 0.32-0.79) was associated with a reduction in deaths. In patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) (595; 34.5%), treatment ⩽48 h (aOR 0.32, 95% CI 0.14-0.74), ⩽3 days (aOR 0.44, 95% CI 0.20-0.97) and ⩽5 days (aOR 0.45, 95% CI 0.22-0.96) was associated with a reduction in deaths. Receiving treatment >5 days after onset of clinical symptoms was not associated with the reduction in deaths in hospitalised patients or those admitted to the ICU. NAI treatment of hospitalised patients with severe confirmed influenza was effective in avoiding death, mainly when administered ⩽48 h after symptom onset, but also when no more than 5 days had elapsed.

摘要

我们研究了神经氨酸酶抑制剂(NAI)治疗重症住院流感病例的预测因素以及抗病毒治疗与死亡率之间的关系。这项观察性流行病学研究于 2010 年至 2016 年在西班牙加泰罗尼亚进行,纳入年龄 ⩾18 岁的实验室确诊流感需住院治疗的患者。我们收集了人口统计学、病毒学和临床特征。采用混合效应逻辑回归模型来估计粗比值比(OR)和调整比值比(aOR)。我们纳入了 1727 例住院患者,其中 1577 例(91.3%)接受了 NAI 治疗。发病后 ⩽48 小时(aOR 0.37,95%置信区间 [CI] 0.22-0.63)、 ⩽3 天(aOR 0.49,95%CI 0.30-0.79)和 ⩽5 天(aOR 0.50,95%CI 0.32-0.79)接受 NAI 治疗与降低死亡率相关。在入住重症监护病房(ICU)的患者(595 例,34.5%)中,发病后 ⩽48 小时(aOR 0.32,95%CI 0.14-0.74)、 ⩽3 天(aOR 0.44,95%CI 0.20-0.97)和 ⩽5 天(aOR 0.45,95%CI 0.22-0.96)接受 NAI 治疗与降低死亡率相关。发病后 ⩾5 天接受治疗与住院患者或入住 ICU 患者的死亡率降低无关。对确诊严重流感住院患者进行 NAI 治疗可有效避免死亡,主要是在症状出现后 ⩽48 小时内给药,但在症状出现后不超过 5 天内给药也有效。

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