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季节变化对缺血性脑卒中严重程度和结局的影响-5 年单中心观察研究。

Seasonal Variations in Neurological Severity and Outcomes of Ischemic Stroke - 5-Year Single-Center Observational Study.

机构信息

Department of Cerebrovascular Medicine, National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center.

Division of Stroke Care Unit, National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center.

出版信息

Circ J. 2018 Apr 25;82(5):1443-1450. doi: 10.1253/circj.CJ-17-1310. Epub 2018 Mar 31.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Seasonal variations in the severity and outcomes of stroke remain unclarified.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A total of 2,965 acute ischemic stroke patients from a single-center prospective registry were studied. Among the total patients, stroke onset did not vary by season, though it varied with a peak in winter when limited to patients >75 years old (P=0.026), when limited to patients with moderate-to-severe initial neurological deficits (National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale Score ≥10, P=0.014), and when limited to those with cardioembolic stroke (n=1,031, P=0.010). In 1,934 patients with noncardioembolic stroke, stroke onset did not vary by season. After multivariable adjustment, moderate-to-severe neurological deficits were more common in winter (odds ratio 1.37, 95% confidence interval 1.10-1.72) and spring (1.27, 1.01-1.60), and death at 1 year was more common in summer than in fall (1.55, 1.03-2.36); death or dependency (modified Rankin Scale score 3-6) and death or bedridden (score of 5-6) were not differently common among the seasons.

CONCLUSIONS

Overall ischemic stroke showed a fairly even distribution among the 4 seasons. Cardioembolic stroke was more common in winter. Ischemic stroke patients had more moderate-to-severe initial neurological deficits in winter and spring. Poor clinical outcomes at 1 year were generally similar among the seasons. Ischemic stroke is not necessarily a winter-dominant disease.

摘要

背景

季节变化对脑卒中严重程度和结局的影响仍不清楚。

方法和结果

对单中心前瞻性登记的 2965 例急性缺血性脑卒中患者进行了研究。在所有患者中,季节对发病时间没有影响,但在冬季会出现峰值,仅限于>75 岁的患者(P=0.026),仅限于中度至重度初始神经功能缺损的患者(国立卫生研究院卒中量表评分≥10,P=0.014),仅限于心源性脑卒患者(n=1031,P=0.010)。在 1934 例非心源性脑卒患者中,季节对发病时间没有影响。经过多变量调整后,冬季和春季中度至重度神经功能缺损更为常见(优势比 1.37,95%置信区间 1.10-1.72),夏季 1 年死亡率高于秋季(1.55,1.03-2.36);1 年时死亡或依赖(改良 Rankin 量表评分 3-6)和死亡或卧床不起(评分 5-6)在各季节的发生率没有差异。

结论

总体而言,缺血性脑卒中在 4 个季节的分布相当均匀。心源性脑卒在冬季更为常见。缺血性脑卒中患者在冬季和春季初始神经功能缺损更为严重。各季节 1 年的不良临床结局大致相似。缺血性脑卒中不一定是冬季高发疾病。

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