Crott Ralph
IRSS, Université Catholique de Louvain, Clos Chapelle Aux Champs, 1200, Brussels, Belgium.
Pharmacoecon Open. 2018 Jun;2(2):165-177. doi: 10.1007/s41669-017-0049-9.
Several mapping or cross-walking algorithms for deriving utilities from the European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer Quality of Life Questionnaire for Cancer (EORTC QLQ-C30) scores have been published in recent years. However, the large majority used ordinary least squares (OLS) regression, which proved to be not very accurate because of the specifics of the quality-of-life measures.
Our objective was to compare regression methods that have been used to map EuroQol 5 Dimensions 3 Levels (EQ-5D-3L) utility values from the general EORTC QLQ-C30 using OLS as a benchmark while fixing the number of explanatory variables and to explore an alternative three-part model.
We conducted a regression analysis of predicted EQ-5D-3L utilities generated using data from an observational study in ambulatory patients with non-small-cell lung cancer in a Toronto hospital. Six alternative regression methods were compared with a simple OLS regression as benchmark. The six alternative regression models were Tobit, censored least absolute deviation, normal mixture, beta, zero-one inflated beta and a mix of piecewise OLS and logistic regression.
The best predictive fit was obtained by a mix of OLS regression(s) for utilities lower than 1 with a cut-off point of 0.50 and a separate binary logistic regression for utilities equal to one. Zero-one inflated beta regression was also promising. However, OLS regression proved to be the most accurate for the mean. The prediction of utilities equal to one was poor in all regression approaches.
Three-part regression methods that separately target low, medium and high (<0.50, 0.51-0.99 or 1) utilities seem to have better prediction power than OLS with EQ-5D-3L data, although OLS also seems quite robust. Exploration of three-part approaches compared with single (OLS) regression should be further tested in other similar datasets or using individual pooled data from various clinical or observational studies. The use of alternative goodness-of-fit measures for mapping studies and their influence on the choice of the best performing methods should also be investigated.
近年来,已经发表了几种用于从欧洲癌症研究与治疗组织癌症生活质量问卷(EORTC QLQ-C30)得分推导效用值的映射或交叉转换算法。然而,绝大多数算法使用普通最小二乘法(OLS)回归,由于生活质量测量的特殊性,事实证明这种方法不太准确。
我们的目的是比较用于从一般EORTC QLQ-C30映射欧洲五维度健康量表3水平(EQ-5D-3L)效用值的回归方法,以OLS作为基准,同时固定解释变量的数量,并探索一种替代的三部分模型。
我们对使用多伦多一家医院非小细胞肺癌门诊患者的观察性研究数据生成的预测EQ-5D-3L效用值进行了回归分析。将六种替代回归方法与作为基准的简单OLS回归进行比较。这六种替代回归模型分别是托比特模型、截尾最小绝对偏差模型、正态混合模型、贝塔模型、零一膨胀贝塔模型以及分段OLS和逻辑回归的混合模型。
对于低于1且截止点为0.50的效用值,通过OLS回归的混合模型获得了最佳预测拟合效果,对于等于1的效用值,则使用单独的二元逻辑回归。零一膨胀贝塔回归也很有前景。然而,OLS回归在均值方面被证明是最准确的。在所有回归方法中,对等于1的效用值的预测都很差。
对于EQ-5D-3L数据,分别针对低、中、高(<0.50、0.51 - 0.99或1)效用值的三部分回归方法似乎比OLS具有更好的预测能力,尽管OLS似乎也相当稳健。与单一(OLS)回归相比,三部分方法的探索应在其他类似数据集或使用来自各种临床或观察性研究的个体汇总数据中进一步测试。还应研究在映射研究中使用替代拟合优度测量方法及其对最佳表现方法选择的影响。