College of Business, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY, USA.
Int J Health Policy Manag. 2018 Apr 1;7(4):308-316. doi: 10.15171/ijhpm.2017.94.
The risk-adjusted mortality rate (RAMR) is used widely by healthcare agencies to evaluate hospital performance. The RAMR is insensitive to case volume and requires a confidence interval for proper interpretation, which results in a hypothesis testing framework. Unfamiliarity with hypothesis testing can lead to erroneous interpretations by the public and other stakeholders. We argue that screening, rather than hypothesis testing, is more defensible. We propose an alternative to the RAMR that is based on sound statistical methodology, easier to understand and can be used in large-scale screening with no additional data requirements.
We use an upper-tail probability to screen for hospitals performing poorly and a lower-tail probability to screen for hospitals performing well. Confidence intervals and hypothesis tests are not needed to compute or interpret our measures. Moreover, unlike the RAMR, our measures are sensitive to the number of cases treated.
To demonstrate our proposed methodology, we obtained data from the New York State Department of Health for 10 Inpatient Quality Indicators (IQIs) for the years 2009-2013. We find strong agreement between the upper tail probability (UTP) and the RAMR, supporting our contention that the UTP is a viable alternative to the RAMR.
We show that our method is simpler to implement than the RAMR and, with no need for a confidence interval, it is easier to interpret. Moreover, it will be available for all hospitals and all diseases/conditions regardless of patient volume.
风险调整死亡率(RAMR)被广泛应用于医疗保健机构,以评估医院绩效。RAMR 对病例量不敏感,需要置信区间才能进行正确解释,从而产生了假设检验框架。由于不熟悉假设检验,公众和其他利益相关者可能会得出错误的解释。我们认为,筛选比假设检验更有说服力。我们提出了一种替代 RAMR 的方法,该方法基于合理的统计方法,更容易理解,可以在不需要额外数据的情况下进行大规模筛选。
我们使用上限概率来筛选表现不佳的医院,使用下限概率来筛选表现良好的医院。计算或解释我们的指标不需要置信区间和假设检验。此外,与 RAMR 不同,我们的指标对治疗的病例数量敏感。
为了演示我们提出的方法,我们从纽约州卫生部获得了 2009 年至 2013 年 10 个住院患者质量指标(IQI)的数据。我们发现上限概率(UTP)与 RAMR 之间具有很强的一致性,这支持了我们的观点,即 UTP 是 RAMR 的一种可行替代方法。
我们表明,我们的方法比 RAMR 更易于实施,并且不需要置信区间,因此更容易解释。此外,无论患者数量多少,它都适用于所有医院和所有疾病/病症。