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低剂量计算机断层扫描诊断老年肺炎患者:前瞻性干预队列研究。

Low-dose computed tomography for the diagnosis of pneumonia in elderly patients: a prospective, interventional cohort study.

机构信息

Internal Medicine and Rehabilitation Unit, Dept of Internal Medicine, Rehabilitation and Geriatrics, Geneva University Hospitals and University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland.

Dept of Radiology, Geneva University Hospitals and University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland.

出版信息

Eur Respir J. 2018 May 30;51(5). doi: 10.1183/13993003.02375-2017. Print 2018 May.

Abstract

The diagnosis of pneumonia is challenging. Our objective was to assess whether low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) modified the probability of diagnosing pneumonia in elderly patients.We prospectively included patients aged over 65 years with a suspicion of pneumonia treated with antimicrobial therapy (AT). All patients had a chest radiograph and LDCT within 72 h of inclusion. The treating clinician assessed the probability of pneumonia before and after the LDCT scan using a Likert scale. An adjudication committee retrospectively rated the probability of pneumonia and was considered as the reference for diagnosis. The main outcome was the difference in the clinician's pneumonia probability estimates before and after LDCT and the proportion of modified diagnoses which matched the reference diagnosis (the net reclassification improvement (NRI)).A total of 200 patients with a median age of 84 years were included. After LDCT, the estimated probability of pneumonia changed in 90 patients (45%), of which 60 (30%) were downgraded and 30 (15%) were upgraded. The NRI was 8% (NRI event (-6%) + NRI non-event (14%)).LDCT modified the estimated probability of pneumonia in a substantial proportion of patients. It mostly helped to exclude a diagnosis of pneumonia and hence to reduce unnecessary AT.

摘要

肺炎的诊断具有挑战性。我们的目的是评估低剂量计算机断层扫描(LDCT)是否改变了老年疑似肺炎患者的诊断概率。我们前瞻性纳入了接受抗菌治疗(AT)的 65 岁以上疑似肺炎患者。所有患者在纳入后 72 小时内均进行了胸部 X 线和 LDCT 检查。临床医生使用李克特量表评估肺炎的概率在 LDCT 扫描前后的变化。一个裁决委员会回顾性评估肺炎的概率,并作为诊断的参考。主要结局是 LDCT 前后临床医生肺炎概率估计的差异以及与参考诊断相符的修改诊断的比例(净重新分类改善(NRI))。共纳入 200 名中位年龄为 84 岁的患者。LDCT 后,90 名患者(45%)的肺炎估计概率发生变化,其中 60 名(30%)被降级,30 名(15%)被升级。NRI 为 8%(NRI 事件(-6%)+NRI 非事件(14%))。LDCT 改变了相当一部分患者的肺炎估计概率。它主要有助于排除肺炎的诊断,从而减少不必要的 AT。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9141/5978575/6b2d7a7d8e69/ERJ-02375-2017.01.jpg

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