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基于不完全犹豫模糊语言偏好关系的群决策方法的自然灾害风险评估。

Nature Disaster Risk Evaluation with a Group Decision Making Method Based on Incomplete Hesitant Fuzzy Linguistic Preference Relations.

机构信息

Business School, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610064, China.

Department of Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence, University of Granada, E-18071 Granada, Spain.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2018 Apr 13;15(4):751. doi: 10.3390/ijerph15040751.

Abstract

Because the natural disaster system is a very comprehensive and large system, the disaster reduction scheme must rely on risk analysis. Experts' knowledge and experiences play a critical role in disaster risk assessment. The hesitant fuzzy linguistic preference relation is an effective tool to express experts' preference information when comparing pairwise alternatives. Owing to the lack of knowledge or a heavy workload, information may be missed in the hesitant fuzzy linguistic preference relation. Thus, an incomplete hesitant fuzzy linguistic preference relation is constructed. In this paper, we firstly discuss some properties of the additive consistent hesitant fuzzy linguistic preference relation. Next, the incomplete hesitant fuzzy linguistic preference relation, the normalized hesitant fuzzy linguistic preference relation, and the acceptable hesitant fuzzy linguistic preference relation are defined. Afterwards, three procedures to estimate the missing information are proposed. The first one deals with the situation in which there are only n-1 known judgments involving all the alternatives; the second one is used to estimate the missing information of the hesitant fuzzy linguistic preference relation with more known judgments; while the third procedure is used to deal with ignorance situations in which there is at least one alternative with totally missing information. Furthermore, an algorithm for group decision making with incomplete hesitant fuzzy linguistic preference relations is given. Finally, we illustrate our model with a case study about flood disaster risk evaluation. A comparative analysis is presented to testify the advantage of our method.

摘要

由于自然灾害系统是一个非常综合和庞大的系统,减灾方案必须依赖风险分析。专家的知识和经验在灾害风险评估中起着关键作用。犹豫模糊语言偏好关系是一种在比较两两备选方案时表达专家偏好信息的有效工具。由于缺乏知识或工作量大,可能会错过犹豫模糊语言偏好关系中的信息。因此,构建了一个不完整的犹豫模糊语言偏好关系。在本文中,我们首先讨论了加性一致犹豫模糊语言偏好关系的一些性质。接下来,定义了不完整的犹豫模糊语言偏好关系、归一化的犹豫模糊语言偏好关系和可接受的犹豫模糊语言偏好关系。然后,提出了三种估计缺失信息的方法。第一种方法适用于只有 n-1 个已知判断涉及所有备选方案的情况;第二种方法用于估计具有更多已知判断的犹豫模糊语言偏好关系的缺失信息;而第三种方法用于处理存在至少一个备选方案完全缺失信息的无知情况。此外,还给出了一个处理不完整犹豫模糊语言偏好关系的群组决策算法。最后,我们用一个洪水灾害风险评估的案例研究来说明我们的模型。进行了对比分析以验证我们方法的优势。

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本文引用的文献

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Regional Risk Evaluation of Flood Disasters for the Trunk-Highway in Shaanxi, China.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2015 Oct 29;12(11):13861-70. doi: 10.3390/ijerph121113861.

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