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[文章标题]:[城市名称]环境温度与精神障碍住院的相关性:[城市名称]特别行政区的时间序列研究

Association between Ambient Temperatures and Mental Disorder Hospitalizations in a Subtropical City: A Time-Series Study of Hong Kong Special Administrative Region.

机构信息

The Jockey Club School of Public Health and Primary Care, Faculty of Medicine, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Prince of Wales Hospital, Shatin, Hong Kong, China.

Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford OX3 7BN, UK.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2018 Apr 14;15(4):754. doi: 10.3390/ijerph15040754.

Abstract

: Mental disorders have been found to be positively associated with temperature in cool to cold climatic regions but the association in warmer regions is unclear. This study presented the short-term association between temperatures and mental disorder hospitalizations in a subtropical city with a mean annual temperature over 21 °C. : Using Poisson-generalized additive models and distributed-lagged nonlinear models, daily mental disorder hospitalizations between 2002 and 2011 in Hong Kong were regressed on daily mean temperature, relative humidity, and air pollutants, adjusted for seasonal trend, long-term trend, day-of-week, and holiday. Analyses were stratified by disease class, gender and age-group. : 44,600 admissions were included in the analysis. Temperature was positively associated with overall mental-disorder hospitalizations (cumulative relative risk at 28 °C vs. 19.4 °C (interquartile range, lag 0-2 days) = 1.09 (95% confidence interval 1.03, 1.15)), with the strongest effect among the elderly (≥75 years old). Transient mental disorders due to conditions classified elsewhere and episodic mood disorders also showed strong positive associations with temperature. : This study found a positive temperature-mental-disorder admissions association in a warm subtropical region and the association was most prominent among older people. With the dual effect of global warming and an aging population, targeted strategies should be designed to lower the disease burden.

摘要

精神障碍与寒冷气候地区的温度呈正相关,但在温暖地区的相关性尚不清楚。本研究呈现了亚热带城市(年平均温度超过 21°C)中温度与精神障碍住院之间的短期关联。

使用泊松广义加性模型和分布式滞后非线性模型,对香港 2002 年至 2011 年期间每日精神障碍住院情况与每日平均温度、相对湿度和空气污染物进行回归分析,同时调整季节性趋势、长期趋势、星期几和节假日。按疾病类别、性别和年龄组进行分层分析。

分析共纳入 44600 例住院患者。结果表明,温度与整体精神障碍住院呈正相关(28°C 与 19.4°C(四分位距,滞后 0-2 天)的累积相对风险= 1.09(95%置信区间 1.03,1.15)),老年人(≥75 岁)的相关性最强。其他分类原因导致的短暂性精神障碍和发作性情绪障碍也与温度呈显著正相关。

本研究在温暖的亚热带地区发现了精神障碍与温度之间的正相关关系,且这种相关性在老年人中最为显著。随着全球变暖和人口老龄化的双重影响,应设计有针对性的策略来降低疾病负担。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2cfe/5923796/5397a04afdd3/ijerph-15-00754-g0A1.jpg

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