Department of Public Health and Primary Care, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom; Office of Strategic Information, Research and Training, Institute of Human Virology, Abuja, Nigeria.
Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, National Hospital, Abuja, Nigeria.
J Clin Epidemiol. 2018 Aug;100:32-43. doi: 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2018.04.012. Epub 2018 Apr 19.
We explored determinants of attrition in a longitudinal cohort study in Nigeria.
We enrolled 1,020 women into a prospective study. Of these, 973 were eligible to return for follow-up. We investigated the determinants of attrition among eligible women using a sequential mixed methods design. We used logistic regression models to compare the baseline characteristics of responders and nonresponders. At the end of the parent study, we conducted four focus group discussions and eight key informant interviews with nonresponders.
Of the 973 women included in the quantitative analysis, 26% were nonresponders. From quantitative analysis, older women were less likely to drop out than younger women (reference: women ≤30 years; OR 0.46; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.30-0.70, P < 0.001 women 31-44 years; and OR 0.31; 95% CI 0.17-0.56, P < 0.001 women ≥45 years). HIV-positive women were also less likely to drop out of the study (OR 0.45; 95% CI 0.33-0.63, P < 0.001). From qualitative analysis, contextual factors that influenced attrition were high cost of participation, therapeutic misconceptions, inaccurate expectations, spousal disapproval, unpleasant side effects, challenges in maintaining contact with participants, and participant difficulties in locating the study clinic.
Several participant-, research-, and environment-related factors influence attrition. Retention strategies that address these barriers are important to minimize attrition.
我们探讨了尼日利亚一项纵向队列研究中失访的决定因素。
我们招募了 1020 名女性参加一项前瞻性研究。其中,973 名符合条件可进行随访。我们使用顺序混合方法设计,调查了符合条件的女性中失访的决定因素。我们使用逻辑回归模型比较了应答者和未应答者的基线特征。在母体研究结束时,我们对未应答者进行了 4 次焦点小组讨论和 8 次关键知情人访谈。
在纳入定量分析的 973 名女性中,26%为失访者。从定量分析来看,年龄较大的女性比年轻女性更不容易退出研究(参考:≤30 岁的女性;OR 0.46;95%置信区间 [CI] 0.30-0.70,P<0.001;31-44 岁的女性;OR 0.31;95%CI 0.17-0.56,P<0.001;≥45 岁的女性)。HIV 阳性女性也较少退出研究(OR 0.45;95%CI 0.33-0.63,P<0.001)。从定性分析来看,影响失访的环境因素包括参与成本高、治疗误解、期望不准确、配偶反对、不良副作用、与参与者保持联系的挑战以及参与者难以找到研究诊所。
参与者、研究和环境相关的几个因素会影响失访。为了最大限度地减少失访,应制定解决这些障碍的保留策略。