Shui Wei, DU Yong, Chen Yi Ping, Jian Xiao Mei, Fan Bing Xiong
College of Environment and Resources, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou 350116, China.
Key Laboratory of Spatial Data Mining & Information Sharing, Ministry of Education, Fuzhou 350116, China.
Ying Yong Sheng Tai Xue Bao. 2017 Apr 18;28(4):1298-1308. doi: 10.13287/j.1001-9332.201704.037.
Anxi County, specializing in tea cultivation, was taken as a case in this research. Pearson correlation analysis, ordinary least squares model (OLS) and geographically weighted regression model (GWR) were used to select four primary influence factors of specialization in tea cultivation (i.e., the average elevation, net income per capita, proportion of agricultural population, and the distance from roads) by analyzing the specialization degree of each town of Anxi County. Meanwhile, the spatial patterns of specialization in tea cultivation of Anxi County were evaluated. The results indicated that specialization in tea cultivation of Anxi County showed an obvious spatial auto-correlation, and a spatial pattern with "low-middle-high" circle structure, which was similar to Von Thünen's circle structure model, appeared from the county town to its surrounding region. Meanwhile, GWR (0.624) had a better fitting degree than OLS (0.595), and GWR could reasonably expound the spatial data. Contrary to the agricultural location theory of Von Thünen's model, which indicated that distance from market was a determination factor, the specialization degree of tea cultivation in Anxi was mainly decided by natural conditions of mountain area, instead of the social factors. Specialization degree of tea cultivation was positively correlated with the average elevation, net income per capita and the proportion of agricultural population, while a negative correlation was found between the distance from roads and specialization degree of tea cultivation. Coefficients of regression between the specialization degree of tea cultivation and two factors (i.e., the average elevation and net income per capita) showed a spatial pattern of higher level in the north direction and lower level in the south direction. On the contrary, the regression coefficients for the proportion of agricultural population increased from south to north of Anxi County. Furthermore, regression coefficient for the distance from roads showed a spatial pattern of higher level in the northeast direction and lower level in the southwest direction of Anxi County.
本研究以专门从事茶叶种植的安溪县为案例。通过分析安溪县各镇的专业化程度,采用皮尔逊相关分析、普通最小二乘法模型(OLS)和地理加权回归模型(GWR),选取了茶叶种植专业化的四个主要影响因素,即平均海拔、人均纯收入、农业人口比例和距道路距离。同时,对安溪县茶叶种植专业化的空间格局进行了评估。结果表明,安溪县茶叶种植专业化呈现出明显的空间自相关性,从县城到周边地区出现了类似冯·杜能圈层结构模型的“低—中—高”圈层结构空间格局。同时,GWR(0.624)的拟合度优于OLS(0.595),且GWR能够合理地阐释空间数据。与冯·杜能模型的农业区位理论相反,该理论表明距市场的距离是一个决定性因素,而安溪县茶叶种植的专业化程度主要由山区自然条件决定,而非社会因素。茶叶种植专业化程度与平均海拔、人均纯收入和农业人口比例呈正相关,而距道路距离与茶叶种植专业化程度呈负相关。茶叶种植专业化程度与两个因素(即平均海拔和人均纯收入)之间的回归系数呈现出北高南低的空间格局。相反,农业人口比例的回归系数在安溪县从南向北递增。此外,距道路距离的回归系数在安溪县呈现出东北高西南低的空间格局。