Assessing Risk for Future Firearms Violence in Young People Who Present to ED.

A new clinical index tool designed specifically for the emergency environment predicts the risk for future firearms violence in young people 14-24 years of age. The approach employs a brief, 10-point instrument that can be administered in one to two minutes, according to investigators. They also note that while the tool is based on data from a single ED in Flint, Ml, the tool should be applicable to urban EDs in regions that have similar characteristics. To create the tool, investigators used data from the Flint Youth Injury Study, an investigation of a group of patients 14-24 years of age who reported using drugs in the previous six months and accessed care at a Level I trauma center. Using a machine learning classification approach, investigators combed through the data, finding that the most predictive factors for firearm violence could be categorized into four domains: peer and partner violence victimization, community violence exposure, peer/family influences, and fighting. Ideally, investigators note the tool will be employed along with interventions targeted toward patients at high risk for future firearms violence.