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1999 年至 2014 年河北省溢油区癌症发病率趋势:一项生态学研究。

Cancer Incidence Trend in the Hebei Spirit Oil Spill Area, from 1999 to 2014: An Ecological Study.

机构信息

Taean Environmental Health Center, Taean, Chungnam 32148, Korea.

Department of Preventive Medicine, Dankook University College of Medicine, Cheonan, Chungnam 31116, Korea.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2018 May 17;15(5):1006. doi: 10.3390/ijerph15051006.

Abstract

The Hebei Spirit oil spill (HSOS) occurred in the Republic of Korea on 7 December 2007. We aimed to describe the cancer incidence trend in Taean County before and after the oil spill. Five major cancers and leukemia were analyzed. Cancer incidence data were obtained from the Korean National Cancer Center. We compared the standardized incidence rates in Taean with those observed nationwide and selected three coastal areas. Joinpoint regression analysis was used to examine the trends in the average annual percent change and perform comparisons. The incidence rate of prostate cancer increased from 2007 to 2009 at an annual average of 39.3% (95% confidence interval (CI): -25.9, 161.8), 13.5% (95% CI: 11.7, 15.4), and 15.6% (95% CI: 11.9, 19.5), respectively, in Taean, nationwide, and in the coastal areas. The incidence of leukemia among women increased at an annual average of 9.5% (95% CI: -26.6, 63.4) in Taean and 0.6% (95% CI: 0.2, 0.9) nationwide; the rate decreased by 1.9% (95% CI: -12.8, 10.4) in the coastal areas. The trends between Taean County and the coastal areas differed only for prostate cancer ( = 0.0004). The incidence of prostate cancer among Taean County residents has increased since the HSOS.

摘要

2007 年 12 月 7 日,河北省精神石油泄漏(HSOS)发生在大韩民国。我们旨在描述石油泄漏前后泰安郡的癌症发病率趋势。分析了五种主要癌症和白血病。癌症发病率数据来自韩国国家癌症中心。我们将泰安的标准化发病率与全国和三个沿海地区观察到的发病率进行了比较。采用 Joinpoint 回归分析来检查平均年变化百分比趋势,并进行比较。前列腺癌的发病率从 2007 年到 2009 年以每年 39.3%(95%置信区间(CI):-25.9,161.8)、13.5%(95% CI:11.7,15.4)和 15.6%(95% CI:11.9,19.5)的速度增长,分别在泰安、全国和沿海地区。女性白血病的发病率在泰安以每年 9.5%(95% CI:-26.6,63.4)的速度增长,全国为 0.6%(95% CI:0.2,0.9);沿海地区下降了 1.9%(95% CI:-12.8,10.4)。泰安郡和沿海地区之间的趋势仅在前列腺癌方面有所不同(= 0.0004)。自 HSOS 以来,泰安郡居民的前列腺癌发病率有所上升。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d8b2/5982045/87e2cf5d89fd/ijerph-15-01006-g001.jpg

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