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乌干达前瞻性研究:住院严重急性营养不良儿童的死亡预测因素。

Predictors of mortality among hospitalized children with severe acute malnutrition: a prospective study from Uganda.

机构信息

Department of Nutrition, Exercise and Sports, University of Copenhagen, DK-1958, Frederiksberg C, Denmark.

Department of Paediatrics and Child Health, Makerere University College of Health Sciences, Kampala, Uganda.

出版信息

Pediatr Res. 2018 Jul;84(1):92-98. doi: 10.1038/s41390-018-0016-x. Epub 2018 May 23.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

We determined the predictors of mortality among children admitted with severe acute malnutrition (SAM).

METHODS

This was a prospective study nested in a randomized trial among 6-59-month-old children admitted with SAM. Socio-demographic and medical history data were collected using questionnaires and clinical examination, anthropometry and laboratory tests were performed. They were monitored daily until discharge or death during hospitalization while receiving care according to national guidelines. Predictors of death were assessed using Cox regression.

RESULTS

Of 400 children, 9.8% (n = 39) died during hospitalization. Predictors of mortality included diarrhoea at admission [hazard ratio [HR] 2.19, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.06; 4.51], lack of appetite [HR 4.50, 95% CI: 1.76; 11.50], suspected sepsis [HR 2.23, 95% CI: 1.18; 4.24] and skin ulcers [HR 4.23, 95% CI: 1.26; 4.17]. Chest indrawing [HR 5.0, 95% CI: 1.53; 16.3], oxygen saturation below 94% [HR 3.92, 95% CI: 1.42; 10.83] and confirmed HIV infection [HR 3.62, 95% CI: 1.69; 7.77] also predicted higher mortality.

CONCLUSION

Infections were major contributors to mortality. This underscores the need for improved prevention and management of these infections among children with severe malnutrition.

摘要

背景

我们确定了患有严重急性营养不良 (SAM) 的儿童住院死亡率的预测因素。

方法

这是一项嵌套在 6-59 月龄儿童 SAM 随机试验中的前瞻性研究。使用问卷和临床检查收集社会人口统计学和病史数据,进行人体测量学和实验室检查。在住院期间,根据国家指南接受治疗时,每天对他们进行监测,直到出院或死亡。使用 Cox 回归评估死亡的预测因素。

结果

在 400 名儿童中,有 9.8%(n=39)在住院期间死亡。死亡的预测因素包括入院时腹泻[危险比(HR)2.19,95%置信区间(CI):1.06;4.51]、食欲不振[HR 4.50,95% CI:1.76;11.50]、疑似败血症[HR 2.23,95% CI:1.18;4.24]和皮肤溃疡[HR 4.23,95% CI:1.26;4.17]。胸部凹陷[HR 5.0,95% CI:1.53;16.3]、血氧饱和度低于 94%[HR 3.92,95% CI:1.42;10.83]和确诊 HIV 感染[HR 3.62,95% CI:1.69;7.77]也预示着更高的死亡率。

结论

感染是导致死亡的主要原因。这突显出需要改善对严重营养不良儿童这些感染的预防和管理。

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