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利用宠物墓地数据估算日本伴侣犬的预期寿命。

Estimating the life expectancy of companion dogs in Japan using pet cemetery data.

作者信息

Inoue Mai, Kwan Nigel C L, Sugiura Katsuaki

机构信息

Department of Global Agricultural Sciences, Graduate School of Agricultural and Life Sciences, The University of Tokyo, 1-1-1 Yayoi, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo 113-8657, Japan.

出版信息

J Vet Med Sci. 2018 Jul 18;80(7):1153-1158. doi: 10.1292/jvms.17-0384. Epub 2018 May 24.

Abstract

The life expectancy provides valuable information about population health. The life expectancies were evaluated in 12,039 dogs which were buried or cremated during January 2012 to March 2015. The data of dogs were collected at the eight animal cemeteries in Tokyo. The overall life expectancy of dogs was 13.7 (95% confidence interval (CI): 13.7-13.8) years. The probability of death was high in the first year of life, lowest in the fourth year, and increased exponentially after four years of age like Gompertz curve in semilog graph. The life expectancy of companion dogs in Tokyo has increased 1.67 fold from 8.6 years to 13.7 years over the past three decades. Canine crossbreed life expectancy (15.1 years, 95% CI 14.9-15.3) was significantly greater than pure breed life expectancy (13.6 years, 95%CI 13.5-13.7, P-value <0.001). The life expectancy for male and for female dogs were 13.6 (95% CI: 13.5-13.7) and 13.5 (95% CI: 13.4-13.6) years, respectively, with no significant difference (P=0.097). In terms of the median age of death and life expectancy for major breeds, Shiba had the highest median age of death (15.7 years), life expectancy (15.5 years) and French Bulldog had the lowest median age of death (10.2 years), life expectancy (10.2 years). When considering life expectancy alone, these results suggest that the health of companion dogs in Japan has significantly improved over the past 30 years.

摘要

预期寿命提供了有关种群健康的宝贵信息。对2012年1月至2015年3月期间埋葬或火化的12,039只狗的预期寿命进行了评估。狗的数据收集于东京的八个动物墓地。狗的总体预期寿命为13.7岁(95%置信区间(CI):13.7 - 13.8)。死亡概率在生命的第一年较高,在第四年最低,并且在四岁以后呈指数增长,如同半对数图中的冈珀茨曲线。在过去三十年中,东京伴侣犬的预期寿命从8.6岁增加到13.7岁,增长了1.67倍。杂种犬的预期寿命(15.1岁,95%CI 14.9 - 15.3)显著高于纯种犬的预期寿命(13.6岁,95%CI 13.5 - 13.7,P值<0.001)。雄性和雌性犬的预期寿命分别为13.6岁(95%CI:13.5 - 13.7)和13.5岁(95%CI:13.4 - 13.6),无显著差异(P = 0.097)。就主要犬种的死亡中位年龄和预期寿命而言,柴犬的死亡中位年龄最高(15.7岁)、预期寿命最长(15.5岁),而法国斗牛犬的死亡中位年龄最低(10.2岁)、预期寿命最短(10.2岁)。仅考虑预期寿命时,这些结果表明,在过去30年中,日本伴侣犬的健康状况有了显著改善。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/fe6e/6068313/f5f7b323957c/jvms-80-1153-g001.jpg

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