Radojković Ivan, Milosavljevic Pedja, Janaćković Goran, Grozdanović Miroljub
a Dunav Voluntary Pension Fund Management Company , Niš , Serbia.
b Faculty of Mechanical Engineering , University of Niš , Niš , Serbia.
Int J Inj Contr Saf Promot. 2019 Mar;26(1):45-51. doi: 10.1080/17457300.2018.1476384. Epub 2018 May 29.
Traffic crashes are a serious public health and socio-economic problem, and they are one of leading causes of death of males in Serbia. In order to determine the main causes of road traffic crashes in Niš region, Republic of Serbia, nine key risk indicators of road traffic crashes are identified, organized into four groups (number and structure of crashes, consequences of traffic crashes, temporal and spatial location of traffic crashes, causes and sanctions), and described in detail. The indicators are ranked based on group fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (AHP), where experts from insurance companies, professionally engaged in the process of risk assessment, with different previous experience present different impact on the final ranking. In relation to the most influential factors in the assessment of traffic crashes, improper and unadjusted vehicle speed, overtaking and passing, as well as the physical condition of the driver have the highest effect.
交通事故是一个严重的公共卫生和社会经济问题，并且是塞尔维亚男性死亡的主要原因之一。为了确定塞尔维亚共和国尼什地区道路交通事故的主要原因，识别了道路交通事故的九个关键风险指标，将其分为四组（事故数量和结构、交通事故后果、交通事故的时间和空间位置、原因和制裁）并进行了详细描述。这些指标基于群组模糊层次分析法（AHP）进行排名，其中来自保险公司、专业从事风险评估过程、具有不同以往经验的专家对最终排名产生不同影响。就交通事故评估中最具影响力的因素而言，车速不当和未调整、超车和会车以及驾驶员的身体状况影响最大。
