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分析严重发热伴血小板减少综合征死亡的临床特征和预警指标。

Analysis of clinical features and early warning indicators of death from severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome.

机构信息

Yantai Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Yantai, Shandong, PR China.

Yantai Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Yantai, Shandong, PR China.

出版信息

Int J Infect Dis. 2018 Aug;73:43-48. doi: 10.1016/j.ijid.2018.05.013. Epub 2018 May 30.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To determine the clinical features of confirmed cases of severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) and to explore the early warning indicators of death from SFTS.

METHODS

A retrospective case-control study was performed at a single medical institution in Yantai. A total of 20 SFTS patients who died (death group) during January 2014 to December 2015 and another 40 age- and sex-matched SFTS patients who survived (survivor group) were identified from the case records. The differences in demographic characteristics, clinical signs and symptoms, and laboratory parameters in the early stage of disease were compared between the two groups. Conditional logistic regression was used to identify the independent risk factors for mortality in SFTS patients.

RESULTS

Univariate logistic regression analysis showed that a disturbance of consciousness, pulse-temperature deficit, neurological signs, hemorrhagic manifestations, pulmonary infection, decreased lymphocyte percentage, high lactate dehydrogenase and creatine kinase levels, increased serum creatinine, blood urea nitrogen, and C-reactive protein (CRP), hyponatremia, and prolonged activated partial thromboplastin time (APPT) and prothrombin time were associated with mortality. On multivariate logistic regression analysis, the independent predictors of death were neurological signs (odds ratio (OR) 31.247, 95% confidence interval (CI) 4.813-202.853), hemorrhagic manifestations (OR 20.251, 95% CI 2.056-199.443), disturbance of consciousness (OR 15.359, 95% CI 2.139-110.268), hyponatremia (OR 5.280, 95% CI 1.235-22.575), increased CRP (OR 2.641, 95% CI 1.090-6.396), increased serum creatinine (OR 6.776, 95% CI 1.047-43.840), and prolonged APTT (OR 6.018, 95% CI 1.450-24.975).

CONCLUSIONS

Neurological signs, hemorrhagic manifestations, disturbance of consciousness, hyponatremia, prolonged APTT, and increased CRP and serum creatinine are risk factors for death in SFTS.

摘要

目的

确定严重发热伴血小板减少综合征(SFTS)确诊病例的临床特征,并探讨 SFTS 死亡的预警指标。

方法

采用单中心回顾性病例对照研究方法,选取 2014 年 1 月至 2015 年 12 月期间在烟台某医疗机构住院的 20 例 SFTS 患者死亡(死亡组)和另外 40 例年龄、性别匹配的 SFTS 患者存活(存活组),比较两组患者疾病早期的人口学特征、临床症状和体征及实验室参数的差异。采用条件 Logistic 回归分析 SFTS 患者死亡的独立危险因素。

结果

单因素 logistic 回归分析显示,意识障碍、脉搏体温差、神经系统体征、出血表现、肺部感染、淋巴细胞百分比降低、乳酸脱氢酶和肌酸激酶水平升高、血清肌酐、血尿素氮、C 反应蛋白升高、低钠血症、活化部分凝血活酶时间和凝血酶原时间延长与死亡相关。多因素 logistic 回归分析显示,神经系统体征(比值比 31.247,95%置信区间 4.813202.853)、出血表现(比值比 20.251,95%置信区间 2.056199.443)、意识障碍(比值比 15.359,95%置信区间 2.139110.268)、低钠血症(比值比 5.280,95%置信区间 1.23522.575)、C 反应蛋白升高(比值比 2.641,95%置信区间 1.0906.396)、血清肌酐升高(比值比 6.776,95%置信区间 1.04743.840)和活化部分凝血活酶时间延长(比值比 6.018,95%置信区间 1.450~24.975)是 SFTS 死亡的独立危险因素。

结论

神经系统体征、出血表现、意识障碍、低钠血症、活化部分凝血活酶时间延长以及 C 反应蛋白和血清肌酐升高是 SFTS 死亡的危险因素。

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