Arias-Cabrales Carlos, Pérez-Sáez María José, Redondo-Pachón Dolores, Buxeda Anna, Burballa Carla, Bermejo Sheila, Sierra Adriana, Mir Marisa, Burón Andrea, Zapatero Ana, Crespo Marta, Pascual Julio
IMIM (Hospital del Mar Research Institute), Barcelona, Spain; Department of Intensive Care Medicine, Transplant Coordination Unit, Hospital del Mar, Barcelona, Spain.
IMIM (Hospital del Mar Research Institute), Barcelona, Spain; Epidemiology and Evaluation Department, Hospital del Mar, Barcelona, Spain; REDISSEC (Health Services Research on Chronic Patients Network), Madrid, Spain.
Nefrologia (Engl Ed). 2018 Sep-Oct;38(5):503-513. doi: 10.1016/j.nefro.2018.03.003. Epub 2018 Jun 5.
Kidney donor shortage requires expanding donor selection criteria, as well as use of objective tools to minimize the percentage of discarded organs. Some donor pre-transplant variables such as age, standard/expanded criteria donor (SCD/ECD) definition and calculation of the Kidney Donor Profile Index (KDPI), have demonstrated correlations with patient and graft outcomes. We aimed to establish the accuracy of the three models to determine the prognostic value of kidney transplantation (KT) major outcomes.
We performed a retrospective study in deceased donor KTs at our institution. Unadjusted Cox and Kaplan-Meier survival, and multivariate Cox analyses were fitted to analyze the impact of donor age, SCD/ECD and KDPI on outcomes.
389 KTs were included. Mean donor age was 53.6±15.2 years; 163 (41.9%) came from ECD; mean KDPI was 69.4±23.4%. Median follow-up was 51.9 months. The unadjusted Cox and Kaplan-Meier showed that the three prognostic variables of interest were related to increased risk of patient death, graft failure and death-censored graft failure. However, in the multivariate analysis only KDPI was related to a higher risk of graft failure (HR 1.03 [95% CI 1.01-1.05]; p=0.014).
SCD/ECD classification did not provide significant prognostic information about patient and graft outcomes. KDPI was linearly related to a higher risk of graft failure, providing a better assessment. More studies are needed before using KDPI as a tool to discard or accept kidneys for transplantation.
肾脏供体短缺需要扩大供体选择标准,并使用客观工具以尽量减少废弃器官的比例。一些供体移植前变量,如年龄、标准/扩展标准供体(SCD/ECD)定义以及肾脏供体概况指数(KDPI)的计算,已显示出与患者和移植物结局存在相关性。我们旨在确定这三种模型的准确性,以评估肾移植(KT)主要结局的预后价值。
我们在本机构对已故供体肾移植进行了一项回顾性研究。采用未调整的Cox模型和Kaplan-Meier生存分析以及多变量Cox分析,以分析供体年龄、SCD/ECD和KDPI对结局的影响。
纳入389例肾移植。供体平均年龄为53.6±15.2岁;163例(41.9%)来自扩展标准供体;KDPI平均值为69.4±23.4%。中位随访时间为51.9个月。未调整的Cox模型和Kaplan-Meier生存分析表明,这三个感兴趣的预后变量与患者死亡、移植物失败和死亡删失移植物失败风险增加相关。然而,在多变量分析中,只有KDPI与移植物失败风险较高相关(风险比1.03 [95%置信区间1.01 - 1.05];p = 0.014)。
SCD/ECD分类未提供关于患者和移植物结局的显著预后信息。KDPI与移植物失败风险较高呈线性相关,提供了更好的评估。在将KDPI用作决定移植肾脏取舍的工具之前,还需要更多研究。