Foresto Renato Demarchi, Hazin Maria Amelia Aguiar, Cassão Bianca Cristina, de Morais Ana Paula Aquino, Felipe Claudia Rosso, Requião-Moura Lucio R, Medina Pestana José, Tedesco-Silva Helio
Hospital do Rim, Fundação Oswaldo Ramos, São Paulo, Brazil.
Nephrology Division, Universidade Federal de São Paulo (UNIFESP), São Paulo, Brazil.
Transplant Direct. 2023 Apr 19;9(5):e1476. doi: 10.1097/TXD.0000000000001476. eCollection 2023 May.
The association between Kidney Donor Profile Index (KDPI) and 1-y estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) with long-term kidney graft survival is well known. Yet, the association between KDPI and 1-y eGFR remains uncertain considering the several concurrent competing risk factors.
This single-center, retrospective cohort study analyzed data from 3059 consecutive deceased donor kidney transplant recipients with a 1-y follow-up from January 2013 to December 2017. The aim was to determine the association between the KDPI strata (0%-35%, 36%-50%, 51%-85%, 86%-100%) and 1-y eGFR estimated by the CKD-EPI equation.
The incidence of delayed graft function (50.6% versus 59.3% versus 62.7% versus 62.0%; < 0.001) and cytomegalovirus infection (36.7% versus 36.6% versus 43.3% versus 57.8%; < 0.001) increased with increasing KDPI strata but not biopsy-proven acute rejection (9.1% versus 9.8% versus 8.4% versus 9.1%; = 0.736). The median 1-y eGFR decreased with increasing KDPI strata (64.8 versus 53.5 versus 46.9 versus 39.1 mL/min/1.73 m; < 0.001). In the Cox regression, the higher the KDPI was, the lower the probability of a lower 1-y eGFR was. Assuming the 0%-35% strata as the reference, the likelihood of eGFR <50 mL/min/1.73 m was increased by 76.6% (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.767, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.406-2.220), 2.24- and 2.87-fold higher for KDPI higher >35%-50% (HR = 2.239, 95% CI = 1.862-2.691), and >51%-85% (HR = 2.871, 95% CI = 2.361-3.491), respectively. Other variables associated with a lower graft function were donor sex (HR male versus female = 0.896, 95% CI = 0.813-0.989) and cold ischemia time (HR for each hour = 1.011, 95% CI = 1.004-1.019). This association was sustained after the Poisson mediation analysis, including delayed graft function, cytomegalovirus, and acute rejection as mediators.
In this cohort of deceased donor kidney recipients, KDPI, and cold ischemia time were the major independent risk factors associated with lower 1-y kidney function.
肾脏供体特征指数(KDPI)与1年估计肾小球滤过率(eGFR)和长期肾移植存活之间的关联是众所周知的。然而,考虑到多个并发的竞争风险因素,KDPI与1年eGFR之间的关联仍不确定。
这项单中心回顾性队列研究分析了2013年1月至2017年12月期间3059例连续的已故供体肾移植受者的数据,并进行了1年的随访。目的是确定KDPI分层(0%-35%、36%-50%、51%-85%、86%-100%)与CKD-EPI方程估计的1年eGFR之间的关联。
移植肾功能延迟的发生率(50.6%对59.3%对62.7%对62.0%;P<0.001)和巨细胞病毒感染率(36.7%对36.6%对43.3%对57.8%;P<0.001)随KDPI分层增加而升高,但活检证实的急性排斥反应发生率无变化(9.1%对9.8%对8.4%对9.1%;P = 0.736)。1年eGFR中位数随KDPI分层增加而降低(64.8对53.5对46.9对39.1 mL/min/1.73 m²;P<0.001)。在Cox回归中,KDPI越高,1年eGFR降低的概率越低。以0%-35%分层为参照,eGFR<50 mL/min/1.73 m²的可能性增加76.6%(风险比[HR]=1.767,95%置信区间[CI]=1.406-2.220),KDPI>35%-50%时升高2.24倍(HR = 2.239,95% CI = 1.862-2.691),>51%-85%时升高2.87倍(HR = 2.871,95% CI = 2.361-3.491)。与移植肾功能降低相关的其他变量包括供体性别(男性对女性的HR = 0.896,95% CI = 0.813-0.989)和冷缺血时间(每小时的HR = 1.011,95% CI = 该关联在Poisson中介分析后仍然存在,包括将移植肾功能延迟、巨细胞病毒和急性排斥反应作为中介因素。
在这个已故供体肾移植受者队列中,KDPI和冷缺血时间是与1年肾功能降低相关的主要独立风险因素。