Büttner Kathrin, Krieter Joachim
Institute of Animal Breeding and Husbandry, Christian-Albrechts-University, Olshausenstr. 40, D-24098, Kiel, Germany.
Institute of Animal Breeding and Husbandry, Christian-Albrechts-University, Olshausenstr. 40, D-24098, Kiel, Germany.
Prev Vet Med. 2018 Aug 1;156:49-57. doi: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2018.05.008. Epub 2018 May 9.
The analysis of trade networks as well as the spread of diseases within these systems focuses mainly on pure animal movements between farms. However, additional data included as edge weights can complement the informational content of the network analysis. However, the inclusion of edge weights can also alter the outcome of the network analysis. Thus, the aim of the study was to compare unweighted and weighted network analyses of a pork supply chain in Northern Germany and to evaluate the impact on the centrality parameters. Five different weighted network versions were constructed by adding the following edge weights: number of trade contacts, number of delivered livestock, average number of delivered livestock per trade contact, geographical distance and reciprocal geographical distance. Additionally, two different edge weight standardizations were used. The network observed from 2013 to 2014 contained 678 farms which were connected by 1,018 edges. General network characteristics including shortest path structure (e.g. identical shortest paths, shortest path lengths) as well as centrality parameters for each network version were calculated. Furthermore, the targeted and the random removal of farms were performed in order to evaluate the structural changes in the networks. All network versions and edge weight standardizations revealed the same number of shortest paths (1,935). Between 94.4 to 98.9% of the unweighted network and the weighted network versions were identical. Furthermore, depending on the calculated centrality parameters and the edge weight standardization used, it could be shown that the weighted network versions differed from the unweighted network (e.g. for the centrality parameters based on ingoing trade contacts) or did not differ (e.g. for the centrality parameters based on the outgoing trade contacts) with regard to the Spearman Rank Correlation and the targeted removal of farms. The choice of standardization method as well as the inclusion or exclusion of specific farm types (e.g. abattoirs) can alter the results significantly. These facts have to be considered when centrality parameters are to be used for the implementation of prevention and control strategies in the case of an epidemic.
对贸易网络以及疾病在这些系统中的传播进行分析时,主要关注农场之间单纯的动物流动情况。然而,作为边权重纳入的额外数据可以补充网络分析的信息内容。不过,边权重的纳入也可能改变网络分析的结果。因此,本研究的目的是比较德国北部猪肉供应链的无权网络分析和加权网络分析,并评估对中心性参数的影响。通过添加以下边权重构建了五个不同的加权网络版本:贸易联系数量、交付牲畜数量、每次贸易联系的交付牲畜平均数量、地理距离和地理距离倒数。此外,使用了两种不同的边权重标准化方法。2013年至2014年观察到的网络包含678个农场,这些农场由1018条边相连。计算了包括最短路径结构(如相同的最短路径、最短路径长度)在内的一般网络特征以及每个网络版本的中心性参数。此外,为了评估网络中的结构变化,对农场进行了有针对性的和随机的移除操作。所有网络版本和边权重标准化方法都显示出相同数量的最短路径(1935条)。无权网络和加权网络版本中有94.4%至98.9%是相同的。此外,根据计算出的中心性参数和所使用的边权重标准化方法,可以看出加权网络版本在斯皮尔曼等级相关性和农场的有针对性移除方面与无权网络不同(例如基于 incoming 贸易联系的中心性参数)或没有差异(例如基于 outgoing 贸易联系的中心性参数)。标准化方法的选择以及特定农场类型(如屠宰场)的纳入或排除会显著改变结果。在疫情情况下,当将中心性参数用于实施预防和控制策略时,必须考虑这些事实。