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[2000 - 2012年中国农村居民食物消费现状及其与气候的相关性]

[Current situation of food consumption and its correlation with climate among rural residents in China, 2000-2012].

作者信息

Cheng Lingru, Xie Dingyuan, Qian Qiuhong, He Yijia

机构信息

Key Laboratory of Environment Correlative Dietology ( HAU) , Ministry of Education, College of Food Science and Technology, Huazhong Agricultural University, Wuhan 430070, China.

出版信息

Wei Sheng Yan Jiu. 2017 Nov;46(6):861-867.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To study the differences in food consumption among rural residents in various regions of China, and to analyze the climatic factors that affect the food consumption of rural residents.

METHODS

Based on the consumption data of 13 kinds of food of rural residents including wheat, rice, other grain, fresh vegetables, pork, beef and mutton, poultry, eggs and related products, milk and related products, aquatic products, edible oil, sugar and liquor collected from the China Statistical Yearbook and China's Economic and social data research platform during 2000 to 2012, cluster analysis was conducted to partition the dietary structure and compare the differences in food consumption in each geographical area. Selecting the average temperature, annual temperature difference, daily temperature difference, average air pressure, average daily precipitation, average wind speed, average relative humidity, average sunshine duration, 8 climatic factors as independent variables from the "Dataset of daily surface observations values in individual years( 1981-2010) in China "and "Dataset of annual values of climate data from Chinese surface stations for global exchange " released by China Meteorological Data Service Center to establish a multivariate linear regression model to study the correlation between food consumption and climate.

RESULTS

The geographical partition of dietary structure of rural residents in China was as follows: Beijing-Tianjin region, northeast region, upstream and downstream parts of the Yellow River region, southeast coastal area, the part middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River region, Lingnan area, southwest region, Inner Mongolia, Tibet, Qing-Xin( Qinghai and Xinjiang)region. In the comparison of annual per capita food consumption in various regions: the consumption of eggs and related products( 12. 96 kg) and edible oil( 10. 18 kg) in BeijingTianjin region, vegetable( 128. 20 kg) in northeastern region, aquatic products( 15. 81 kg) and liquor( 19. 04 kg) in the southeastern coastal areas, rice( 189. 36 kg) and poultry( 10. 17 kg) in Lingnan area, pork( 26. 46 kg) in southwest China, other food( 126. 31 kg), milk and related products( 32. 38 kg), beef and mutton( 12. 87 kg) and sugar( 2. 65 kg) in Tibet, and wheat( 184. 63 kg) in Qingxin region was the highest in China. While the consumption of sugar( 0. 79 kg) in northeastern region, other food( 10. 64 kg) in the southeastern coastal areas, wheat( 0. 60 kg) and milk and related products( 0. 33 kg) in Lingnan area, beef and mutton( 0. 43 kg) in southwest China, edible oil( 4. 21 kg) in Inner Mongolia, vegetables( 19. 21 kg), eggs and related products( 0. 60 kg), aquatic products( 0. 01 kg), pork( 2. 23 kg) and poultry( 0. 03 kg) in Tibet, and rice( 13. 00 kg)and liquor( 2. 25 kg) in Qing-Xin regions was the lowest in China. The result of multiple linear regression analysis of climate and food consumption showed that consumption of wheat in staple foods was negatively correlated with average daily precipitation( P < 0. 01, Adj. R2= 0. 632); and there was a positive correlation between rice consumption and average daily precipitation, and a negative correlation with average temperature and daily temperature difference( P < 0. 01, Adj. R2= 0. 839). There was a positive correlation between vegetable consumption and annual temperature difference, and negative correlation with average sunshine duration( P < 0. 01, Adj. R2= 0. 450). The pork consumption was negatively correlated with the average sunshine duration( P < 0. 01, Adj. R2= 0. 386).

CONCLUSION

The dietary structure of rural residents in China can bedivided into 10 kinds of geographical partitions. Average daily precipitation is negatively and positively correlated with consumption of wheat and rice, respectively. Average sunshine duration has negative impact on vegetable and pork consumption. Average temperature and daily temperature difference are negatively correlated with rice consumption. And annual temperature difference has positive impact on vegetable consumption.

摘要

目的

研究中国不同地区农村居民的食物消费差异,并分析影响农村居民食物消费的气候因素。

方法

基于2000年至2012年从《中国统计年鉴》和中国经济社会数据研究平台收集的农村居民13种食物的消费数据,包括小麦、大米、其他谷物、新鲜蔬菜、猪肉、牛肉和羊肉、家禽、蛋类及相关产品、牛奶及相关产品、水产品、食用油、糖和酒类,进行聚类分析以划分饮食结构并比较各地理区域的食物消费差异。从中国气象数据服务中心发布的《中国逐年地面气象观测资料数据集(1981 - 2010)》和《中国地面气候资料日值数据集》中选取平均气温、年温差、日温差、平均气压、日平均降水量、平均风速、平均相对湿度、平均日照时长8个气候因素作为自变量,建立多元线性回归模型来研究食物消费与气候之间的相关性。

结果

中国农村居民饮食结构的地理分区如下:京津冀地区、东北地区、黄河上下游地区、东南沿海地区、长江中下游部分地区、岭南地区、西南地区、内蒙古、西藏、青新(青海和新疆)地区。各地区人均年食物消费量比较:京津冀地区蛋类及相关产品(12.96千克)和食用油(10.18千克)的消费量、东北地区蔬菜(128.20千克)的消费量最高;东南沿海地区水产品(15.81千克)和酒类(19.04千克)的消费量最高;岭南地区大米(189.36千克)和家禽(10.17千克)的消费量最高;中国西南地区猪肉(26.46千克)的消费量最高;西藏其他食物(126.31千克)、牛奶及相关产品(32.38千克)、牛肉和羊肉(12.87千克)和糖(2.65千克)的消费量最高;青新地区小麦(184.63千克)的消费量最高。而东北地区糖(0.79千克)的消费量、东南沿海地区其他食物(10.64千克)的消费量、岭南地区小麦(0.60千克)和牛奶及相关产品(0.33千克)的消费量、中国西南地区牛肉和羊肉(0.43千克)的消费量、内蒙古食用油(4.21千克)的消费量、西藏蔬菜(19.21千克)、蛋类及相关产品(0.60千克)、水产品(0.01千克)、猪肉(2.23千克)和家禽(0.03千克)的消费量、青新地区大米(13.00千克)和酒类(2.25千克)的消费量最低。气候与食物消费的多元线性回归分析结果表明,主食中小麦的消费量与日平均降水量呈负相关(P < 0.01,调整R² = 0.632);大米消费量与日平均降水量呈正相关,与平均气温和日温差呈负相关(P < 0.01,调整R² = 0.839)。蔬菜消费量与年温差呈正相关,与平均日照时长呈负相关(P < 0.01,调整R² = 0.450)。猪肉消费量与平均日照时长呈负相关(P < 0.01,调整R² = 0.386)。

结论

中国农村居民的饮食结构可分为10种地理分区。日平均降水量分别与小麦和大米的消费量呈负相关和正相关。平均日照时长对蔬菜和猪肉的消费有负面影响。平均气温和日温差与大米消费量呈负相关。年温差对蔬菜消费有正面影响。

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