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具有预设亚组的确认性适应性富集临床试验的灵活 alpha 分配策略。

Flexible alpha allocation strategies for confirmatory adaptive enrichment clinical trials with a prespecified subgroup.

机构信息

Biostatistics Group, Astellas Pharma Inc, Tokyo, Japan.

Section for Medical Statistics, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria.

出版信息

Stat Med. 2018 Oct 30;37(24):3387-3402. doi: 10.1002/sim.7851. Epub 2018 Jun 26.

Abstract

Adaptive enrichment designs have recently received considerable attention as they have the potential to make drug development process for personalized medicine more efficient. Several statistical approaches have been proposed so far in the literature and the operating characteristics of these approaches are extensively investigated using simulation studies. In this paper, we improve on existing adaptive enrichment designs by assigning unequal weights to the significance levels associated with the hypotheses of the overall population and a prespecified subgroup. More specifically, we focus on the standard combination test, a modified combination test, the marginal combination test, and the partial conditional error rate approach and explore the operating characteristics of these approaches by a simulation study. We show that these approaches can lead to power gains, compared to existing approaches, if the weights are chosen carefully.

摘要

自适应富集设计最近受到了相当多的关注,因为它们有可能使个性化医学的药物开发过程更加高效。到目前为止,文献中已经提出了几种统计方法,并且通过模拟研究广泛研究了这些方法的操作特性。在本文中,我们通过对与总体和预定亚组的假设相关的显着性水平赋予不等权重来改进现有的自适应富集设计。更具体地说,我们专注于标准组合检验、修改的组合检验、边缘组合检验和部分条件误差率方法,并通过模拟研究探索这些方法的操作特性。我们表明,如果精心选择权重,这些方法相对于现有方法可以获得更高的功效。

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