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能源消耗、卫生、森林面积、金融发展与温室气体之间的依存关系:中下等收入国家的大洲比较

The dependency analysis between energy consumption, sanitation, forest area, financial development, and greenhouse gas: a continent-wise comparison of lower middle-income countries.

机构信息

Department of Economics, Government Postgraduate College, Jaranwala, 37200, Pakistan.

Department of Economics, Government College University, Faisalabad, 38000, Pakistan.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2018 Aug;25(24):24013-24040. doi: 10.1007/s11356-018-2460-x. Epub 2018 Jun 8.

Abstract

This study explored the long-run association among greenhouse gases (GHGs), financial development, forest area, improved sanitation, renewable energy, urbanization, and trade in 24 lower middle-income countries from Asia, Europe, Africa, and America (South and North) by using panel data from 1990 to 2015. Granger causality was tested by Toda and Yamamoto approach. The bi-directional causality was established among urbanization and GHGs (Asia), financial development and forest (Asia), energy use and renewable energy (Asia), renewable energy and forest (Asia), improved sanitation and forest (Asia, Africa, America), urbanization and forest (Asia), and improved sanitation and financial development (Europe). The GHG emission also shows one-way causality is running from financial development to GHG (America), energy to GHG (Asia), renewable energy to GHG (America), forest area to GHG (America), trade openness to GHG (Africa), urbanization to GHG (Europe), GHG to financial development (Europe), GHG to energy use (Europe, Africa, and America), and GHG to trade openness (Asia). On the basis of fully modified ordinary least square and generalized method of moment, the reciprocal relationship of GHGs was observed due to financial development in Asia and Africa; renewable energy in all panels; forest area in Asia, Europe, and America; improved sanitation in Asia, Africa, and America; trade openness in Africa; and urbanization in Europe and America. Policymakers should concentrate on these variables for the reduction in GHGs. The annual convergence towards long-run equilibrium was 50.5, 31.9, and 20.9% for America, Asia, and Africa, respectively.

摘要

本研究利用 1990 年至 2015 年亚洲、欧洲、非洲和南北美洲 24 个中下收入国家的面板数据,探讨了温室气体(GHGs)、金融发展、森林面积、改良卫生、可再生能源、城市化和贸易之间的长期关联。采用 Toda 和 Yamamoto 方法检验了格兰杰因果关系。城市化和温室气体(亚洲)、金融发展和森林(亚洲)、能源利用和可再生能源(亚洲)、可再生能源和森林(亚洲)、改良卫生和森林(亚洲、非洲、美洲)、城市化和森林(亚洲)以及改良卫生和金融发展(欧洲)之间存在双向因果关系。温室气体排放也显示出从金融发展到温室气体(美国)、能源到温室气体(亚洲)、可再生能源到温室气体(美国)、森林面积到温室气体(美国)、贸易开放度到温室气体(非洲)、城市化到温室气体(欧洲)、温室气体到金融发展(欧洲)、温室气体到能源利用(欧洲、非洲和美洲)以及温室气体到贸易开放度(亚洲)的单向因果关系。基于完全修正的普通最小二乘法和广义矩估计法,在亚洲和非洲,金融发展会导致温室气体产生相互关系;在所有面板中,可再生能源都会导致温室气体产生相互关系;在亚洲、欧洲和美洲,森林面积会导致温室气体产生相互关系;在亚洲、非洲和美洲,改良卫生会导致温室气体产生相互关系;在非洲,贸易开放度会导致温室气体产生相互关系;在欧洲和美洲,城市化会导致温室气体产生相互关系。决策者应关注这些变量,以减少温室气体排放。美国、亚洲和非洲的长期均衡收敛速度分别为每年 50.5%、31.9%和 20.9%。

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