Department of Psychology, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Ontario, Canada.
School of Public Health and Health Systems, Waterloo, Ontario, Canada.
Tob Control. 2019 Jun;28(Suppl 2):s84-s88. doi: 10.1136/tobaccocontrol-2018-054374. Epub 2018 Jun 28.
At its sixth meeting (Moscow, November 2014), the Conference of the Parties (COP) adopted decision FCTC/COP6(13) that called for an impact assessment to 'examine the impact of the WHO Framework Convention on Tobacco Control (FCTC) on the implementation of tobacco control measures and on the effectiveness of its implementation' after its first 10 years. An independent expert group (EG) was established to conduct the impact assessment, and report their findings at COP7 (Delhi, November 2016). This article describes the methodology used by the EG to conduct the first comprehensive multi-method assessment of the possible causal impact of the FCTC on global tobacco control over the past decade.
The EG developed and followed a four-stage process model to conduct the impact assessment: (1) desk review of literature on FCTC impact; (2) collection and analysis of interview data from 12 country missions; (3) data synthesis and interpretation; and (4) preparation of a final report.
The EG developed and engaged in a transparent and systematic process to conduct the FCTC impact assessment. The methods employed were rigorous, and explicitly guided by concerns about the difficulty of ascribing cause-and-effect relations. The EG's report and supporting documents represent important sources of the positive impact of the Convention over its first decade. As development of the FCTC increasingly shifts to mechanisms for accelerating global implementation, the EG's process model can be used as a methodology to assist Parties in carrying out their own assessments of the impact of the Treaty.
缔约方会议第六届会议（2014 年 11 月，莫斯科）通过了第 FCTC/COP6(13)号决定，呼吁开展影响评估，“在《世界卫生组织烟草控制框架公约》（世卫组织框架公约）实施十年之后，审查其对实施烟草控制措施的影响及其实施效力”。成立了一个独立专家组（EG），负责开展影响评估，并在第七届缔约方会议（2016 年 11 月，新德里）上报告其调查结果。本文描述了专家组用以开展首次全面的多方法评估的方法，以评估世卫组织框架公约在过去十年对全球烟草控制的可能因果影响。
专家组制定并遵循了一个四阶段的流程模型来开展影响评估：（1）对有关世卫组织框架公约影响的文献进行桌面审查；（2）从 12 个国家考察中收集和分析访谈数据；（3）数据综合和解释；以及（4）编写最终报告。
专家组制定并参与了一个透明和系统的流程，以开展世卫组织框架公约影响评估。所采用的方法是严谨的，并明确关注归因因果关系的困难。专家组的报告和支持文件是公约在其第一个十年取得积极影响的重要来源。随着世卫组织框架公约的发展越来越多地转向加速全球实施的机制，专家组的流程模型可被用来协助缔约方对条约的影响进行自己的评估。
