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利用零敏感回归模型提高与饮食相关的行为结果预测能力。

Improving prediction of eating-related behavioral outcomes with zero-sensitive regression models.

机构信息

Department of Psychiatry, University of North Carolina School of Medicine, USA.

Department of Psychology, University at Albany - State University of New York, USA; Department of Psychiatry, University of California - San Diego, USA.

出版信息

Appetite. 2018 Oct 1;129:252-261. doi: 10.1016/j.appet.2018.06.030. Epub 2018 Jun 27.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

Outcome variables gauging the frequency of specific disordered eating behaviors (e.g., binge eating, vomiting) are common in the study of eating and health behaviors. The nature of such data presents several analytical challenges, which may be best addressed through the application of underutilized statistical approaches. While zero-sensitive models are well-supported by methodologists, application of these models has yet to gain traction among a widespread audience of researchers who study eating-related behaviors. The current study examined several approaches to predicting count-based behaviors, including zero-sensitive (i.e., zero-inflated and hurdle) regression models.

METHOD

Exploration of alternative models to predict eating-related behaviors occurred in two parts. In Part 1, participants (N = 524; 54% female) completed the Eating Disorder Examination-Questionnaire and Daily Stress Inventory. We considered the theoretical basis and practical utility of several alternative approaches for predicting the frequency of binge eating and compensatory behaviors, including ordinary least squares (OLS), logistic, Poisson, negative binomial, and zero-sensitive models. In Part 2, we completed Monte Carlo simulations comparing negative binomial, zero-inflated negative binomial, and negative binomial hurdle models to further explore when these models are most useful.

RESULTS

Traditional OLS regression models were generally a poor fit for the data structure. Zero-sensitive models, which are not limited to traditional distribution assumptions, were preferable for predicting count-based outcomes. In the data presented, zero-sensitive models were useful in modeling behaviors that were relatively rare (laxative use and vomiting, 9.7% endorsed) along with those that were somewhat common (binge eating, 33.4% endorsed; driven exercise, 40.7% endorsed). Simulations indicated missing data, sample size, and the number of zeros may impact model fit.

DISCUSSION

Zero-sensitive approaches hold promise for answering key questions about the presence and frequency of common eating-related behaviors and improving the specificity of relevant statistical models. The current manuscript provides practical guidance to aid the use of these models when studying eating-related behaviors.

摘要

目的

评估特定饮食失调行为(如暴食、呕吐)频率的结果变量在饮食和健康行为研究中很常见。此类数据的性质提出了一些分析挑战,这些挑战可能通过应用未充分利用的统计方法来最好地解决。虽然零敏感模型得到了方法学家的充分支持,但在研究与饮食相关行为的广泛研究人群中,这些模型的应用尚未得到广泛关注。本研究探讨了预测基于计数的行为的几种方法,包括零敏感(即零膨胀和障碍)回归模型。

方法

探索替代模型来预测饮食相关行为分为两部分。在第 1 部分中,参与者(N=524;54%为女性)完成了饮食障碍检查问卷和日常压力量表。我们考虑了几种替代方法预测暴食和补偿行为频率的理论依据和实际效用,包括普通最小二乘法(OLS)、逻辑、泊松、负二项式和零敏感模型。在第 2 部分中,我们完成了蒙特卡罗模拟比较了负二项式、零膨胀负二项式和负二项式障碍模型,以进一步探索这些模型何时最有用。

结果

传统的 OLS 回归模型通常不适合数据结构。零敏感模型不受传统分布假设的限制,更适合预测基于计数的结果。在所呈现的数据中,零敏感模型对于建模相对罕见的行为(泻药使用和呕吐,9.7%的人表示)以及稍微常见的行为(暴食,33.4%的人表示;驱动运动,40.7%的人表示)很有用。模拟表明缺失数据、样本量和零的数量可能会影响模型拟合度。

讨论

零敏感方法有望回答有关常见饮食相关行为的存在和频率的关键问题,并提高相关统计模型的特异性。本文档提供了实用指南,以帮助在研究与饮食相关的行为时使用这些模型。

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