Park Junpyo
Department of Mathematical Sciences, Ulsan National Institute of Science and Technology, Ulsan 44919, South Korea.
Chaos. 2018 Jun;28(6):061105. doi: 10.1063/1.5023528.
Conflict that arises between two groups of different paradigms is an inevitable phenomenon, and a representative example of the conflict among different groups is a conflict phenomenon caused by competition among political parties. In this paper, we study the dynamical behavior of a political party system. Considering three major political parties, we investigate how political party systems can be changed by employing a mathematical model. By considering the transfer mechanism of recruitment as well as conflict of competition between political parties, we found that all parties are likely to coexist when both the competition and transfer between the parties are weak, or if either mechanism can occur at a relatively low level. Otherwise, a political party system is changed to a single-party system. In addition, we found that when a party system was changed into a single-party system, it appeared to be either bistable or multistable, and has been elucidate by linear stability analysis. Our results may provide insights to understand mechanisms how political party systems can be changed by conflict and transfer.
两组不同范式之间产生的冲突是一种不可避免的现象,不同群体间冲突的一个典型例子是政党竞争引发的冲突现象。在本文中,我们研究政党系统的动态行为。考虑三个主要政党,我们运用数学模型来研究政党系统是如何变化的。通过考虑招募的转移机制以及政党之间的竞争冲突,我们发现当政党之间的竞争和转移都很弱,或者如果任何一种机制能在相对较低水平发生时,所有政党都有可能共存。否则,政党系统会转变为一党制。此外,我们发现当政党系统转变为一党制时,它似乎是双稳态或多稳态的,并且通过线性稳定性分析得到了阐明。我们的结果可能为理解政党系统如何因冲突和转移而变化的机制提供见解。