Baker Justin S., Sohngen Brent L., Ohrel Sara, Fawcett Allen A.
This study conducted an economic analysis of future US forest mitigation potential using a detailed economic model of the global forestry sector. The scenario design included a wide range of possible future carbon price incentives and climate policy structures (unilateral and global mitigation). Results across all scenarios show US forest sector mitigation potential ranging from 54 to 292 MtCOe between 2015 and 2030 (5 to 47 percent of the additional mitigation needed to achieve the 26 to 28 percent emissions reduction target). The results from this study suggest that the US forest sector can play an important role in global greenhouse gas mitigation efforts, including efforts to meet any potential future US mitigation targets.
本研究使用全球林业部门的详细经济模型，对美国未来森林减缓潜力进行了经济分析。情景设计涵盖了一系列未来可能的碳价格激励措施和气候政策结构（单边和全球减缓）。所有情景的结果表明，2015年至2030年间，美国林业部门的减缓潜力在54至292百万吨二氧化碳当量之间（占实现26%至28%减排目标所需额外减缓量的5%至47%）。本研究结果表明，美国林业部门可以在全球温室气体减缓努力中发挥重要作用，包括努力实现美国未来任何潜在的减缓目标。
