Predictive Value of Epileptiform Discharges for Subsequent Epilepsy After Febrile Seizures.

The predictive value of epileptiform discharges for subsequent epilepsy after febrile seizures was studied in 140 children: 72 children (51%) had simple febrile seizures and 68 children (49%) had complex febrile seizures. Electroencephalography (EEG) was performed in 103 children (74%), it was normal in 66 (47%) and with epileptiform patterns in 37 patients (26%). At follow-up in 2017, 10 children developed epilepsy, 1 had a single epileptic seizure, 9 of them had epileptiform EEGs. Of the patients with normal EEGs after complex febrile seizures, none developed epilepsy, and 92% of patients with normal EEGs after recurrent febrile seizures did not develop epilepsy. Therefore, patients with normal EEGs were unlikely to develop epilepsy. Fifteen percent of patients with complex and 31% of patients with recurrent febrile seizures and epileptiform EEGs developed epileptic seizures. The positive predictive value of epileptiform discharges was low in complex and twice as high in recurrent febrile seizures.